Welcome to Week 2 of the NFL season… Hope your week 1 was fruitful! St. Louis and Buffalo came through for our money picks, while Jacksonville, Baltimore, and Minnesota didn’t.

How did you do last week?
249 votes

Total points if you stuck with base picks from last week: 104
That 104 points would’ve gotten me tied for 10th place…  out of the money. The top score in my league this week was 122, but the person made 5 upset picks and hit on 4 of them. That’s not easy to do. This year, I hope to have more data on what if scenarios like this, which I will provide in the “premium” benefits once those are ready.
And now on to Week 2… Had to hold off a bit because Derek Carr’s injury status was causing the Oakland vs Baltimore line to be “off” but as of today there is a line. Here’s the chart for week 2:

Green picks:
Washington, with a 38% win probability and 9% picked is the best one of the bunch.  After that, there’s a whole mess of teams led by SF at 30% and 10% picked. Jacksonville and Oakland are also good picks to try to go all in on.
Yellow picks:
As of now, there is one really good yellow pick, and that’s Buffalo with a whopping 51% win probaBILLaty (see what I did there?) with 29% picked. The 29% is a bit high for a contrarian pick, but the win prob is really good. They do seem to have the Patriot’s number don’t they?
Chicago (46%, 25%) and Johnny Football Cleveland (49%, 25%) are other yellow picks.
Blue picks:
No blue picks this week, the one that would’ve been a blue pick had it not been promoted to a yellow pick is the Buffalo vs NE matchup.

Which features did you like and what more would you like to see?

There’s a really neat model that the site WinThatPool.com created to help identify the “money” pick for the week. I entered in my league’s info, and it popped out with Washington as the all-in pick.
Good luck this week! As usual, happy to hear discussion in the comments section below. Let the world know how you fared last with with which strategy!
[Corrected base points to 104 – 9/16/2015]