Week 1 Base Pick Points: 91 (corrected from 92, it was a tiebreaker issue on my spreadsheet)
(This is the score you would’ve gotten if you stuck with just our base picks).

Season Base Pick Points: 175

Hit the Cincinnati pick, missed on the Pittsburgh pick. Would’ve taken first had the Pittsburgh pick hit. 

How did you do last week?
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Updated Thu 12:30 AM ET

Here are the free first look Base Picks for Week 3. Yes I said I was going to stop giving these for free after Week 2, but I’m on the road right now so I’ll give it one more week…


FREE PREVIEW of what Premium Members get:

Updated Thu 12:30 AM ET

Hey all, here’s a short write-up for today… Just wanted to get these out to you. Will update with my picks a little later. 

Green Picks: 1. IND 2. ARI 3. NYG – These are around average this week, win probabilities in the 30% range. Worth a shot if you’re going for a weekly win or are down early. 

Yellow Picks: 1. WAS 2. NYG, NOS – Washington over Green Bay (boo) is the best money pick this week, with a 42% win probability and only 11% picked. Jets and Saints are next best with almost 40% win probability, but double the percent picked so you’re not going to get as much separation. 

Blue Picks: 1. PIT 2. SEA 3. MIA – Pittsburgh is the next best pick this week, with a great 54% win probability and only 37% picked. If you want to take some risk but not too much, Pittsburgh would be a pick to move up. 

My pick this week: I’m going with Washington at 15 (keeping Minnesota at 16 since they’re over 90% win probability) and then sticking with base picks for the rest. Yes, it hurts to pick against the Packers, but I’m also in a league full of Packer fans so that may help me.