Welcome to Week 17 of the 2020 NFL Season! Here is our review of Week 16:

Green Picks (Season record: 10-19 )

The green pick for week 16 was: 49ers v. Cardinals

Our green pick hit! 49ers pulled off the upset over the Cardinals. Cardinals will look to rebound in the last week of the season

Yellow Picks (Season record: 10-7)

The yellow picks for week 16 was: Panthers v. Washington

Our yellow pick also hit! Panthers won their matchup v. Washington Football Team in week 16!

Blue Picks (Season record: 5-5)

The blue pick for week 16 was: N/A

We did not have a blue pick for week 16.

Below are Premium Picks that are typically only given to Premium Members. Check out the Premium Picks for free!

— CPP Premium Content—

Week 17 Money Picks

Note: 12/31/20 Update: We added another green pick, and a couple of our picks have changed – Cardinals and Bills %. Please see the site for updated chart and CPP picks accordingly!!

Money Picks:

Update 10/30/20 (Wednesday): We added a yellow pick! Please see below.

High Risk Pick Games (Green Pick): Falcons v. Buccaneers

Picks: Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have 27% chance of probability to win, yet under 10% of people who are picking them. This makes them week 17 best high risk high reward (green pick) play. Panthers is another option, as their 26% winning probability and 6% people picking them are also an alternative choice.

Medium Risk Pick Games (Yellow Picks): Raiders v. Broncos

Pick: Broncos. As of 12/30/20, the probability % of Broncos winning is at 43%, while the % of people picking them is at 21% (very close to 20%). Therefore, we will add that as our yellow pick for this week. Please make the picks adjustment accordingly if you decide to choose the Broncos.

Low Risk Pick Game (Blue Pick): Browns v. Steelers; Chargers v. Chiefs

Pick: Browns have over 60% chance of winning (75%), yet under 50% of people who are picking them. This makes them currently best blue pick for week 17. Chargers  is also a possible Blue pick play. I suspect they are the favored this week because Chiefs have clinched the playoff spots and may rest their starters.

Note: Due to some technical difficulty with covid and injuries, several spread for the matchups are not available. Therefore, the predicted scores are not shown or are incorrect. We manually projected the scores below. Once site is updated, we will reflect/change accordingly.

Predicted Scores:

Bills v. Dolphins – 32 – 26

Browns v. Steelers – 26 – 16

Buccaneers v. Falcons – 28 – 22

Vikings v. Lions – 28 – 22

Chargers v. Chiefs – 26 – 22

Patriots v. Jets – 22-18

Rams v. Cardinals – 20-19

Demo 2021

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
16
BUF
-16.5 92% 99% 11.9 vs
HOU
8% 1% 6.7 32-16
15
CLE
-2 91% 69% 5.6 @
MIN
9% 31% 3.8 27-26
14
NO
-7.5 78% 98% 9.3 vs
NYG
22% 2% 3.5 25-18
13
JAX
-7.5 77% 3% 3.6 @
CIN
23% 97% 9.0 27-19
12
TEN
-7.5 77% 98% 10.7 @
NYJ
23% 2% 6.0 27-19
11
LAR
-6 72% 89% 6.4 vs
ARI
28% 11% 3.6 30-24
10
KC
-0 71% 97% 9.5 @
PHI
29% 3% 5.0 0-0
9
TB
-6.5 71% 97% 9.4 @
NE
29% 3% 5.4 3--3
8
CAR
-0 67% 19% 3.8 @
DAL
33% 81% 6.2 0-0
7
LAC
-3.5 63% 75% 5.3 vs
LAS
37% 25% 4.5 28-25
6
CHI
-3 62% 53% 4.8 vs
DET
38% 47% 3.3 22-20
5
MIA
-1.5 55% 61% 4.1 vs
IND
45% 39% 3.9 22-21
4
DEN
-0 55% 33% 4.0 vs
BAL
45% 67% 5.8 0-0
3
ATL
-1.5 52% 50% 3.3 vs
WSH
48% 50% 3.6 25-23
2
SF
-2.5 - 67% 4.6 vs
SEA
100% 33% 3.9 27-25
1
GB
-6.5 - 95% 8.3 vs
PIT
100% 5% 4.0 26-20

Demo 2020

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
16
TEN
-1 85% 83% 5.8 @
HOU
15% 14% 9.8 1--1
15
CLE
-1 75% 32% 6.7 vs
PIT
25% 68% 8.2 1--1
14
NO
-7.5 74% 83% 6.9 @
CAR
26% 17% 6.0 4--4
13
TB
-6.5 73% 67% 9.2 vs
ATL
27% 8% 5.5 3--3
12
MIN
-2 72% 10% 10.8 @
DET
28% 7% 9.3 1--1
11
LAC
-11 66% 79% 8.0 @
KC
34% 57% 8.6 5--5
10
NE
-7 64% 82% 6.6 vs
NYJ
36% 33% 7.8 4--4
9
LAS
-3.5 57% 33% 6.0 @
DEN
43% 21% 7.4 2--2
8
BUF
-8 54% 92% 7.2 vs
MIA
46% 17% 7.2 4--4
7
DAL
-3 27% 71% 5.8 @
NYG
23% 12% 6.2 2--2
6
SEA
-6.5 - 93% 8.7 @
SF
100% 86% 8.1 3--3
5
GB
-0.5 - 90% 7.9 @
CHI
100% 88% 5.6 0-0
4
BAL
-9 - 57% 8.2 @
CIN
100% 43% 5.6 4--4
3
JAX
-10.5 - 18% 4.5 @
IND
100% 67% 5.7 5--5
2
WSH
-10.5 - 87% 7.1 @
PHI
100% 13% 8.1 5--5
1
ARI
-6 - 29% 5.1 @
LAR
100% 43% 5.8 3--3

Here are suggested base, low, medium, and high risk picks. We’ll let you decide how much you want to go for it! See this post for more on taking the right amount of risk 

Point Base (Lowest) Some Risk Med Risk High Risk