It’s time for Week 2! Last week, I talked about how bad of an upset pick SD over Cincinnati would be… and of course SD pulled it off. I guess 25% probability events happen… uh… 25% of the time. Week 2 has a little less parity, which also means more chances for bigger upsets.

Basically all the “dark green” risky upset options are close, I picked NO because they represent the highest win probability amongst upsets (30%) with a low percentage of people picking them. The Advanced NFL Stats article this week agrees, saying NO is one of the unlucky teams in the playoffs. Carolina is a good upset pick if you’re looking to gain some ground, since they’re pretty much a 50/50 split with SF but only 41% of the people picked them. SF conversely is a decent pick as well if you want to push a bit.
Quick poll for everyone if you have a second, trying to figure out how to improve the site:

How did you do last week?
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