Welcome to Week 2 of the playoffs!
The best pick by far is all in on a Seattle upset of Carolina, with a 43% chance of winning but only 23% picked. If you want to take a bigger risk (although it’s not buying you much contrarian-ness), Green Bay and Pittsburgh are the upset picks. New England (69%, 68%) would be your bump up pick.
Last week I also posted a chart for expected playoff wins, calculated from implied win probabilities from Vegas odds. The updated picks are below this chart.
Here’s the chart for this week.

And here’s the updated chart for expected wins:

The biggest mover is Kansas City, which after beating Houston soundly seem to become a Vegas favorite. They moved up the most out of the remaining teams.