Getting down to the wire! Congrats to @meme this week for winning his league with the SF money pick and @Dillon White with the Dallas money pick. I still am not having much luck this year, with my SD money pick not panning out.
Base picks score: 98

This week’s pick follow. Sea vs Bal and Jac vs Ind moneylines are off as of now, I pulled win probabilities from another site. Check back for updates.
Update Sunday 10:22 AM EST: All lines are on. Jacksonville Blue pick is solid, Sea shoots up to 15.

Unique arrangement this week. There are a ton of “light green” picks, i.e. picks that are close to being green picks if it weren’t for the real green pick. And the real green pick is a doozy, Houston over New England (39% win prob, 9% picked). It’s actually a really good pick, with almost a 40% win probability. But boy is it hard to pick against Brady. If you want to go against the crowd but can’t get yourself to pick Houston, Min, Ten, Oak, Atl, and Dal are all around 23-25% win prob with single digit picks.
There’s one yellow pick, but it’s a little worse than the green pick in terms of % picked – Washington (38%, 17%) over Chicago again.
We have a couple of great blue picks with % picked only in the 30’s: Cleveland (54%, 36%) over SF and St. Louis (51%, 30%) over Detroit. Update Thurs 1:33 PM Eastern: St. Louis no longer a blue pick. Jacksonville is still no line, if you believe the win prob it’d be a blue pick candidate too. Update Sun 10:23 Eastern: Jacksonville blue pick is solid.
Looks like a good week for either a Houston over NE upset pick, or a double bump up with Cleveland and St. Louis.
Good luck!