Welcome to Week 17, the final week of the season! Hope it’s been a profitable year for all of you, and I hope a bunch of you are going for a season win!
Last week, Jacksonville finally pulled one out for me. But I ended up in 8th place because of too many big upsets.
Base pick score from last week: 78

Before we move on to this week’s picks, would love to hear some feedback for next year:

There are no games this week until Sunday. I will probably do one update on Saturday.
Base picks for this week:
Updated Saturday 10:58 PM Eastern

***MONEY PICKS: PREMIUM MEMBER CONTENT***

 
Updated Saturday 10:58 PM Eastern
 
Green picks: Again, Jacksonville is the best green pick. They came through for me last week! Can they make it two in a row? SD, Cleveland (two in a row too?), LA, and NO are other green picks. Update Saturday: Same green picks in Cleveland, Jax, and SD, with LA and NO slightly worse.
Yellow picks: We have a great yellow-ish pick in Cincinnati this week, with a 55% win prob but only 28% picked. Oakland, NYJ, and Detroit are other yellow picks. Update Saturday: Cincy has gotten a little worse, but still pretty solid yellow pick. Not much change in the other picks. 
Blue picks:  We have some great ones this week. Washington is only 67% picked, but already at a base pick of 14 so not much room to bump there. Philly is another good pick, with only 32% picked and 64% win prob. Tennessee rounds it out. Update Saturday: The blue picks have gotten better, as it appears the teams that they’re playing against have nothing to play for. 
If you’re in the lead or close to a season win, it may be a good week to stick with base picks. There seems to be natural contrarianess out there among the favorites. There may be a lot of random games this week because there are games that don’t count towards anything.
Best of luck this week! If you haven’t yet, please join our email list so we can get going again next year. Hoping to get more features going, and moving to a faster host so the site loads faster. I’ll also be doing playoff picks and working on some analysis to see how good our strategy was, so stick around for that!
As usual, take a victory lap in the comments if you won last week or are close to being in the money for the season!
Update Saturday: It turns out I’m in the finals in a knockout against the spread confidence league. Maybe my beta ATS strategy has some merit? I share it in a future post. Make sure you’re on the email list!