A week 4 update shows an higher win probability for Atlanta over Minnesota. I wondered in the previous post why ATL was so low on the list, but they get bumped up to 7 points for the week. There’s a change you might want to make for this week, as it was previously listed as 3 points. If you’re looking for an upset pick, you can still go with Minnesota as only 6% of the people picked them, but the win probability for them has decreased to 37%. The NYJ are still the best upset pick with a 46% win probability but only 17% of the people picking them.
As requested, home teams are indicated in bold.
Week 4 b