This week, I’m going to bump up two teams to the top again who are contrarian or semi-contrarian picks. This is also the last week I get Dad’s picks, so hopefully we can win one this week. Here are the baseline picks (Advanced NFL Stats data forthcoming):

Based on Moneyline data, there are three “people’s upsets” (in green) and three where there are relatively high win probabilities but a decent percentage of people picking the other way (in blue). Tomorrow, the ANS model picks should be out and I will confirm my selections then. Meanwhile, the games in green are potential all-in contrarian picks.