Week 9: Hope you didn’t pick Dallas.

Here are the picks for Week 10:

Blue pick (lowest risk): BUF is the safe pick again 87%.

Yellow pick (medium risk): IND is a good value again, but the best pick this week is PIT at 80% and only 3 predicted wins remaining.

Green pick (high risk, high rewards): Nothing really jumped out this week.

My pick: I went ahead and burned my BUF pick in one league because I had taken a lot of risk early. The other one I went PIT because of the value.

To review:

Win probability: This is the most important. If you lose you get a strike or if you’re in a one strike pool, you’re out. So you want teams that have a high shot of winning.

Remaining wins: These are how many wins a team is predicted to have left this season (remaining wins is total predicted wins minus current wins). This is important because you can only pick a team once in a year, and if a team is really good and will win a lot of games in the season, you would want to save them for later picks.

% picked: This tells us how much of the public has picked this team. With all else being equal, you want to pick a team that less people have picked.