Here are the picks for Week 4:

Blue pick (lowest risk): Buffalo is one of the safest picks ever with a 93% win probability.

Yellow pick (medium risk): None this week.

Green pick (high risk, high rewards): Cincinnati has only 8 predicted wins this year, but this week it has a 77% win probability. If you’re looking to take some risk, Cincinnati would be a good one.

My pick: Buffalo this week for the regular league, with Cincinnati for the bigger league.

 

To review:

Win probability: This is the most important. If you lose you get a strike or if you’re in a one strike pool, you’re out. So you want teams that have a high shot of winning.

Predicted wins: These are how many wins a team is predicted to have this season. This is important because you can only pick a team once in a year, and if a team is really good and will win a lot of games in the season, you would want to save them for later picks.

% picked: This tells us how much of the public has picked this team. With all else being equal, you want to pick a team that less people have picked.