Here are the picks for Week 5:

Blue pick (lowest risk): Tampa Bay ha the lowest risk this week at 83% win probability.

Yellow pick (medium risk): None this week.

Green pick (high risk, high rewards): Two great higher risk picks this week, as MIN and NE are 77% and 76% win probability but only expected to win 7 games this year.

My pick: I will likely go with MIN this week and take their 77% win probability, with only 13% picked.

 

To review:

Win probability: This is the most important. If you lose you get a strike or if you’re in a one strike pool, you’re out. So you want teams that have a high shot of winning.

Predicted wins: These are how many wins a team is predicted to have this season. This is important because you can only pick a team once in a year, and if a team is really good and will win a lot of games in the season, you would want to save them for later picks.

% picked: This tells us how much of the public has picked this team. With all else being equal, you want to pick a team that less people have picked.