Welcome to Week 11!

Week 10 Recap: What a crazy week of upsets. Four of our money picks hit! SF had a huge upset over the Rams on Monday Night Football 31-10. WSH beat the GOAT (Tom Brady and TB) 29-19. MIA shocked BAL with a 22-10 upset. MIN won the hard fought battle between them and LAC 27-20. NO just fell short against the short handed TEN 23-21.

How did you do last week?
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Here are the FREE picks for the week.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob Underdog Win Prob
15
TB
-11 83% vs
NYG
17%
14
CLE
-10 82% vs
DET
18%
13
TEN
-10.5 81% vs
HOU
19%
12
BUF
-7 75% vs
IND
25%
11
SF
-7 74% @
JAX
26%
10
NE
-6.5 73% @
ATL
27%
9
BAL
-6 72% @
CHI
28%
8
LAC
-4.5 66% vs
PIT
34%
7
CAR
-3 63% vs
WSH
37%
6
MIA
-3 60% @
NYJ
40%
5
SEA
-3 59% vs
ARI
41%
4
GB
-2.5 58% @
MIN
42%
3
KC
-2.5 56% vs
DAL
44%
2
PHI
-1 54% vs
NO
46%
1
CIN
-1 50% @
LAS
50%

Here are your PREMIUM picks.

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Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
15
TB
-11 83% 97% 13.0 vs
NYG
17% 3% 8.8 31-19
14
CLE
-10 82% 95% 10.7 vs
DET
18% 5% 3.6 27-17
13
TEN
-10.5 81% 99% 13.1 vs
HOU
19% 1% 5.6 28-17
12
BUF
-7 75% 94% 10.1 vs
IND
25% 6% 4.0 28-21
11
SF
-7 74% 96% 10.3 @
JAX
26% 4% 4.1 27-19
10
NE
-6.5 73% 94% 10.1 @
ATL
27% 6% 4.0 27-20
9
BAL
-6 72% 78% 8.6 @
CHI
28% 22% 4.1 26-20
8
LAC
-4.5 66% 88% 8.1 vs
PIT
34% 12% 5.3 26-21
7
CAR
-3 63% 86% 7.1 vs
WSH
37% 14% 4.3 23-20
6
MIA
-3 60% 82% 6.5 @
NYJ
40% 18% 3.4 24-21
5
SEA
-3 59% 36% 4.8 vs
ARI
41% 64% 6.4 27-23
4
GB
-2.5 58% 79% 7.7 @
MIN
42% 21% 3.8 26-23
3
KC
-2.5 56% 55% 4.9 vs
DAL
44% 45% 4.5 29-27
2
PHI
-1 54% 57% 4.3 vs
NO
46% 43% 4.2 23-21
1
CIN
-1 50% 56% 4.7 @
LAS
50% 44% 4.2 25-24

Green Picks: IND has a 25% win probability and 7% pick percentage against BUF. JAX is sporting a 26% win probability but is only picked 9%. ATL has a 27% win probability and is being picked at 9% as well.

Sunday Update: IND has the same win probability but was picked 1% less. JAX is picked 5% of the time now.

Yellow Picks: PIT has a 34% win percentage and is being picked 12% of the time. WSH has a 37% win rate and is picked 15%. Lastly, MIN is a money pick again. They have a 42% win percentage and is being picked 20%.

Sunday Update: PIT is picked 10% now. MIN has a 19% pick percentage now. 

Blue Picks: No blue picks this week.

And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:

Point Base (Lowest) Some Risk Med Risk High Risk
15
TB
TB
TB
TB
14
CLE
PIT
PIT
IND
13
TEN
TEN
CLE
CLE
12
BUF
BUF
TEN
TEN
11
SF
SF
BUF
SF
10
NE
NE
SF
NE
9
BAL
BAL
NE
BAL
8
LAC
LAC
BAL
LAC
7
CAR
CAR
CAR
CAR
6
MIA
MIA
MIA
MIA
5
ARI
ARI
ARI
ARI
4
GB
GB
GB
GB
3
KC
KC
KC
KC
2
PHI
PHI
PHI
PHI
1
CIN
CIN
CIN
CIN