Welcome to Week 12!
Week 11 Recap: We had 3 money picks hit this week. IND dominated BUF 41-15 behind a monstrous performance from Jonathan Taylor (He had 5 TDs and 50 fantasy points). WSH beat CAR 27-21 and gave Superman the loss. MIN played one of the most exciting games all week with a 34-31 win over GB.
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
| Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |  DAL |
-7.5 | 75% | vs |  LAS |
25% |
| 14 |  NE |
-5.5 | 69% | vs |  TEN |
31% |
| 13 |  BUF |
-4.5 | 66% | @ |  NO |
34% |
| 12 |  BAL |
-3.5 | 65% | vs |  CLE |
35% |
| 11 |  CHI |
-3.5 | 63% | @ |  DET |
37% |
| 10 |  PHI |
-3 | 63% | @ |  NYG |
37% |
| 9 |  CIN |
-3.5 | 62% | vs |  PIT |
38% |
| 8 |  SF |
-3 | 61% | vs |  MIN |
39% |
| 7 |  HOU |
-3 | 59% | vs |  NYJ |
41% |
| 6 |  TB |
-2.5 | 58% | @ |  IND |
42% |
| 5 |  LAC |
-2.5 | 57% | @ |  DEN |
43% |
| 4 |  CAR |
-1 | 55% | @ |  MIA |
45% |
| 3 |  LAR |
-1 | 54% | @ |  GB |
46% |
| 2 |  ATL |
-1 | 51% | @ |  JAX |
49% |
| 1 |  SEA |
-1 | 51% | @ |  WSH |
49% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
| Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
DAL |
-7.5 | 75% | 95% | 12.1 | vs |
LAS |
25% | 5% | 4.8 | 29-22 |
| 14 |
NE |
-5.5 | 69% | 86% | 9.8 | vs |
TEN |
31% | 14% | 5.7 | 25-20 |
| 13 |
BUF |
-4.5 | 66% | 90% | 10.7 | @ |
NO |
34% | 10% | 4.8 | 26-21 |
| 12 |
BAL |
-3.5 | 65% | 89% | 10.5 | vs |
CLE |
35% | 11% | 6.2 | 25-21 |
| 11 |
CHI |
-3.5 | 63% | 69% | 7.3 | @ |
DET |
37% | 31% | 3.7 | 22-19 |
| 10 |
PHI |
-3 | 63% | 92% | 10.2 | @ |
NYG |
37% | 8% | 4.8 | 25-22 |
| 9 |
CIN |
-3.5 | 62% | 82% | 8.4 | vs |
PIT |
38% | 18% | 5.3 | 24-21 |
| 8 |
SF |
-3 | 61% | 68% | 7.5 | vs |
MIN |
39% | 32% | 6.0 | 26-23 |
| 7 |
HOU |
-3 | 59% | 85% | 7.6 | vs |
NYJ |
41% | 15% | 4.3 | 24-20 |
| 6 |
TB |
-2.5 | 58% | 70% | 8.7 | @ |
IND |
42% | 30% | 4.7 | 27-24 |
| 5 |
LAC |
-2.5 | 57% | 88% | 10.0 | @ |
DEN |
43% | 12% | 5.5 | 25-22 |
| 4 |
CAR |
-1 | 55% | 68% | 6.6 | @ |
MIA |
45% | 32% | 4.9 | 22-21 |
| 3 |
LAR |
-1 | 54% | 34% | 5.6 | @ |
GB |
46% | 66% | 7.0 | 25-23 |
| 2 |
ATL |
-1 | 51% | 66% | 6.1 | @ |
JAX |
49% | 34% | 4.1 | 24-23 |
| 1 |
SEA |
-1 | 51% | 51% | 6.0 | @ |
WSH |
49% | 49% | 5.6 | 24-22 |
Green Picks: LAS has a 25% win probability but is only picked 5% of the time.
Yellow Picks: DEN sports a 43% win probability and is being picked 15%. NYG has a 37% win probability and is picked 14%. CLE has a 35% win probability and 14% picked. NO has a 34% win probability and is picked 14%.
Blue Picks: JAX is slated to win 51% and is picked 36%.
Wednesday Update: JAX is no longer a blue pick.
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
| Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
DAL |
DAL |
DEN |
LAS |
| 14 |
NE |
NE |
DAL |
NE |
| 13 |
BUF |
BUF |
NE |
BUF |
| 12 |
BAL |
BAL |
BUF |
BAL |
| 11 |
CHI |
CHI |
BAL |
CHI |
| 10 |
PHI |
PHI |
CHI |
PHI |
| 9 |
CIN |
CIN |
PHI |
CIN |
| 8 |
SF |
SF |
CIN |
SF |
| 7 |
HOU |
HOU |
SF |
HOU |
| 6 |
TB |
TB |
HOU |
TB |
| 5 |
LAC |
LAC |
TB |
LAC |
| 4 |
CAR |
CAR |
CAR |
CAR |
| 3 |
GB |
GB |
GB |
GB |
| 2 |
JAX |
JAX |
JAX |
JAX |
| 1 |
WSH |
WSH |
WSH |
WSH |