Welcome to Week 13!
Week 12 Recap: 3 of our money picks hit this week. LAS had an upset against America’s team (DAL) 36-33. NYG beat PHI 13-7. DEN beat LAC 28-13. CLE was close but fell short against BAL.
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
| Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  LAR |
-13 | 86% | vs |  JAX |
14% |
| 13 |  TB |
-10.5 | 83% | @ |  ATL |
17% |
| 12 |  KC |
-10 | 81% | vs |  DEN |
19% |
| 11 |  IND |
-9.5 | 80% | @ |  HOU |
20% |
| 10 |  ARI |
-8 | 78% | @ |  CHI |
22% |
| 9 |  MIN |
-7 | 75% | @ |  DET |
25% |
| 8 |  PHI |
-6.5 | 72% | @ |  NYJ |
28% |
| 7 |  DAL |
-4.5 | 66% | @ |  NO |
34% |
| 6 |  SF |
-3.5 | 63% | @ |  SEA |
37% |
| 5 |  BAL |
-3.5 | 63% | @ |  PIT |
37% |
| 4 |  CIN |
-3 | 62% | vs |  LAC |
38% |
| 3 |  MIA |
-3 | 61% | vs |  NYG |
39% |
| 2 |  BUF |
-2.5 | 58% | vs |  NE |
42% |
| 1 |  LAS |
-2.5 | 57% | vs |  WSH |
43% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
| Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
LAR |
-13 | 86% | 99% | 12.0 | vs |
JAX |
14% | 1% | 5.5 | 31-17 |
| 13 |
TB |
-10.5 | 83% | 99% | 11.9 | @ |
ATL |
17% | 1% | 4.5 | 30-20 |
| 12 |
KC |
-10 | 81% | 95% | 9.7 | vs |
DEN |
19% | 5% | 4.6 | 29-18 |
| 11 |
IND |
-9.5 | 80% | 98% | 10.0 | @ |
HOU |
20% | 2% | 4.7 | 28-18 |
| 10 |
ARI |
-8 | 78% | 95% | 9.8 | @ |
CHI |
22% | 5% | 3.5 | 27-18 |
| 9 |
MIN |
-7 | 75% | 94% | 8.9 | @ |
DET |
25% | 6% | 3.2 | 27-20 |
| 8 |
PHI |
-6.5 | 72% | 89% | 7.0 | @ |
NYJ |
28% | 11% | 3.3 | 26-19 |
| 7 |
DAL |
-4.5 | 66% | 88% | 7.2 | @ |
NO |
34% | 12% | 3.8 | 26-22 |
| 6 |
SF |
-3.5 | 63% | 69% | 5.0 | @ |
SEA |
37% | 31% | 4.0 | 25-21 |
| 5 |
BAL |
-3.5 | 63% | 84% | 5.9 | @ |
PIT |
37% | 16% | 3.6 | 24-21 |
| 4 |
CIN |
-3 | 62% | 75% | 4.4 | vs |
LAC |
38% | 25% | 3.7 | 27-24 |
| 3 |
MIA |
-3 | 61% | 90% | 6.2 | vs |
NYG |
39% | 10% | 3.7 | 23-19 |
| 2 |
BUF |
-2.5 | 58% | 63% | 5.5 | vs |
NE |
42% | 37% | 4.1 | 23-21 |
| 1 |
LAS |
-2.5 | 57% | 74% | 5.8 | vs |
WSH |
43% | 26% | 3.5 | 25-23 |
Green Picks: DEN has a 19% win probability and is being picked only 5% of the time.
Yellow Picks: NE is red hot and has a 42% win probability and is being picked only 18%. WSH has a 43% win probability and the same pick rate at 18%.
Blue Picks: SF has a 63% win probability and is picked 35%. CIN has a 62% win rate and is being picked 55%.
Wednesday Update: No changes to any of our picks!
Saturday Update: Picks are the same. No changes to the win or pick rate.
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
| Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
LAR |
SF |
WSH |
DEN |
| 13 |
TB |
LAR |
LAR |
LAR |
| 12 |
KC |
TB |
TB |
TB |
| 11 |
IND |
KC |
KC |
IND |
| 10 |
ARI |
IND |
IND |
ARI |
| 9 |
MIN |
ARI |
ARI |
MIN |
| 8 |
PHI |
MIN |
MIN |
PHI |
| 7 |
DAL |
PHI |
PHI |
DAL |
| 6 |
SF |
DAL |
DAL |
SF |
| 5 |
BAL |
BAL |
SF |
BAL |
| 4 |
CIN |
CIN |
BAL |
CIN |
| 3 |
MIA |
MIA |
CIN |
MIA |
| 2 |
BUF |
BUF |
MIA |
BUF |
| 1 |
LAS |
LAS |
BUF |
LAS |