Welcome to Week 16!

Week 15 Recap: Out of our picks, we hit on two money picks! LAS beat the short handed CLE 16-14. PIT beat the TEN 19-13. BAL lost a nail biter against GB.

How did you do last week?
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Here are the FREE picks for the week.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob Underdog Win Prob
16
TB
-11 82% @
CAR
18%
15
DAL
-10.5 82% vs
WSH
18%
14
PHI
-10 81% vs
NYG
19%
13
LAC
-9.5 79% @
HOU
21%
12
KC
-8 78% vs
PIT
22%
11
GB
-7 76% vs
CLE
24%
10
SEA
-7 73% vs
CHI
27%
9
ATL
-4 66% vs
DET
34%
8
SF
-3.5 65% @
TEN
35%
7
MIA
-3 62% @
NO
38%
6
LAR
-3 58% @
MIN
42%
5
NYJ
-2.5 57% vs
JAX
43%
4
CIN
-2.5 57% vs
BAL
43%
3
NE
-2.5 57% vs
BUF
43%
2
LAS
-1 54% vs
DEN
46%
1
ARI
-4.5 52% vs
IND
48%

Here are your PREMIUM picks.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
16
TB
-11 82% 98% 13.3 @
CAR
18% 2% 5.4 28-16
15
DAL
-10.5 82% 96% 11.8 vs
WSH
18% 4% 6.5 29-18
14
PHI
-10 81% 98% 11.2 vs
NYG
19% 2% 5.0 26-16
13
LAC
-9.5 79% 99% 13.3 @
HOU
21% 1% 6.2 28-18
12
KC
-8 78% 95% 11.5 vs
PIT
22% 5% 4.9 27-18
11
GB
-7 76% 98% 13.0 vs
CLE
24% 2% 5.0 26-19
10
SEA
-7 73% 92% 9.3 vs
CHI
27% 8% 4.5 26-18
9
ATL
-4 66% 81% 7.1 vs
DET
34% 19% 3.9 24-20
8
SF
-3.5 65% 62% 5.6 @
TEN
35% 38% 4.5 24-21
7
MIA
-3 62% 43% 5.8 @
NO
38% 57% 6.9 21-18
6
LAR
-3 58% 87% 8.9 @
MIN
42% 13% 4.6 27-23
5
NYJ
-2.5 57% 83% 5.9 vs
JAX
43% 17% 3.9 22-20
4
CIN
-2.5 57% 85% 6.7 vs
BAL
43% 15% 5.0 24-21
3
NE
-2.5 57% 53% 4.8 vs
BUF
43% 47% 4.6 23-21
2
LAS
-1 54% 78% 6.5 vs
DEN
46% 22% 4.9 22-20
1
ARI
-4.5 52% 48% 5.0 vs
IND
48% 52% 4.6 27-23

Green Picks: HOU has a 21% win rate and is being picked 4% of the time. PIT has the same 4% pick rate but a win rate of 22%. CLE sports a 24% win rate and is being picked at 3%.

Wednesday Update: HOU pick rate went down to 2%. CLE pick rate went down to 2%.

Saturday Update: HOU pick rate went down to 1%, while maintaining a 21% win rate. CLE has the same 24% win rate still but is being picked 2% of the time now. 

Yellow Picks: MIA has a 38% win rate and is being picked at 23%. MIN has a win rate of 42% and is 15% picked. JAX has a 43% win probability and is being picked 17%. DEN has a 46% win rate and is being picked at 26%.

Wednesday Update: MIN pick rate went down to 14%. JAX pick rate went down to 14%. DEN pick rate went down to 22%.

Saturday Update: MIN pick rate went down to 13%. JAX pick rate increased to 17%. DEN pick rate went down to 21%. MIA win rate went up to 62% and is being picked 34% of the time. 

Blue Picks: SF has a 65% win probability and is being picked at 45%.

Wednesday Update: SF pick rate went up to 52%.

Saturday Update: Game was played already. 

And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:

Point Base (Lowest) Some Risk Med Risk High Risk
16
TB
SF
MIN
CLE
15
DAL
TB
TB
TB
14
PHI
DAL
DAL
DAL
13
LAC
PHI
PHI
PHI
12
KC
LAC
LAC
LAC
11
GB
KC
KC
KC
10
SEA
GB
GB
SEA
9
ATL
SEA
SEA
ATL
8
SF
ATL
ATL
SF
7
NO
NO
SF
NO
6
LAR
LAR
NO
LAR
5
NYJ
NYJ
NYJ
NYJ
4
CIN
CIN
CIN
CIN
3
NE
NE
NE
NE
2
LAS
LAS
LAS
LAS
1
ARI
ARI
ARI
ARI