2021 Week 17 Confidence Pool Picks

Welcome to Week 17!

Week 16 Recap: Two of our money picks hit this week. HOU beat LAC 41-29. What a shock! MIA beat NO 20-3. CLE was close but fell short to GB. SF was also close but lost to TEN

How did you do last week?
  • Took first place!6.74% (19 votes)
  • In the money!12.06% (34 votes)
  • Almost in the money!26.60% (75 votes)
  • Ug, don’t ask54.61% (154 votes)

282 votes

Here are the FREE picks for the week.

Base PickPickSpreadWin ProbUnderdogWin Prob
16 NE-16.592%vs JAX8%
15 BUF-14.589%vs ATL11%
14 TB-13.587%@ NYJ13%
13 SF-1387%vs HOU13%
12 GB-1387%vs MIN13%
11 LAC-878%vs DEN22%
10 IND-8.577%vs LAS23%
9 SEA-7.577%vs DET23%
8 CHI-6.573%vs NYG27%
7 NO-773%vs CAR27%
6 LAR-6.572%@ BAL28%
5 DAL-6.572%vs ARI28%
4 PHI-5.569%@ WSH31%
3 KC-466%@ CIN34%
2 PIT-3.563%vs CLE37%
1 TEN-360%vs MIA40%

Here are your PREMIUM picks.

Enjoy Premium Picks for free for the final weeks of the season!

Green Picks: MIN has a 27% win probability and is being picked 4% of the time. NYG has a 28% win rate and is being picked 5% of the time. DEN has a 30% win probability and is being picked 6% of the time.

Update 12/31: Kirk Cousins is now on the COVID list, so their win probability has tanked. They’re no longer a green pick.

Update 1/1: NYC win rate increased to 30% and is still picked 5% of the time. DEN win rate went down to 27% and is still being picked 6% of the time. 

Yellow Picks: MIA has a win probability of 37% and is being picked 19%. BAL has the same 37% win probability but is being picked less at 11%. WSH has a 35% win probability and is being picked 18%.

Update 1/1: MIA win rate went up to 38% and is being picked 22% of the time. BAL win rate is down to 30% and has a 10% pick rate. WSH win rate is down to 33% and is being picked 15% of the time. 

Blue Picks: No blue picks this week.

And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:

PointBase (Lowest)Some RiskMed RiskHigh Risk
16NENEWSHNYG
15BUFBUFNENE
14TBTBBUFBUF
13SFSFTBTB
12GBGBSFSF
11SEASEAGBGB
10INDINDSEASEA
9NONOINDIND
8LACLACNONO
7CHICHILACLAC
6LARLARCHILAR
5DALDALLARDAL
4PHIPHIDALPHI
3KCKCKCKC
2CLECLECLECLE
1TENTENTENTEN

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