It’s time for another year of March Madness! Following are some good value picks (i.e. teams where they have a relatively higher chance of winning and a relatively low pick rate). Green picks are the higher risk higher reward picks, yellow picks are slightly lower risk but a little lower reward. Blue picks are the favorites that have some value, and red picks are overrated teams (lower win probability but everyone’s picking them). Here we go:

Champion Picks:

• Most picked: Duke (14% win prob, 28% picked).
  • Duke has the 2nd highest win probability along with Arizona which is 14%. 28% of the people picked them. You’ll probably want other upset picks in previous games if you go with them for the championship.

• Money picks:
  • 1. Michigan (16% win prob, 14% picked) 2. Arizona (14% win prob, 22% picked)

Best of luck this year!