Welcome to Week 3, Confidence Pool Picks Nation! Two money picks hit in Week 2: New Orleans and Minnesota, though the top suggested plays (Jets, Titans) came up short. Check out this week’s preliminary picks below. Let’s keep it rolling in Week 3!

Here are this week’s preliminary base picks.

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Keep an eye on our $ Score metrics to uncover the top-value picks and maximize your points.

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Preliminary Picks on 09/22/2026]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

• Washington Commanders over Seattle Seahawks: 27% win probability, 3% pick-rate
• New York Jets over Detroit Lions: 26% win probability, 3% pick-rate
• Atlanta Falcons over Green Bay Packers: 25% win probability, 3% pick-rate
• Los Angeles Chargers over Buffalo Bills: 24% win probability, 1% pick-rate
• Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers: 21% win probability, 1% pick-rate

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

• Cleveland Browns over Carolina Panthers: 41% win probability, 11% pick-rate
• Tennessee Titans over New York Giants: 41% win probability, 19% pick-rate
• Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals: 37% win probability, 13% pick-rate

Week 3 is here, and the picks that pay off are the ones nobody else is willing to make. Trust your research, back your value plays, and let’s have a great week!

Suggested picks by risk

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.