Chat GPT Week 2 Picks

Based on the updated SOP version 1.1 and the provided Week 2 table, here are the picks:

  1. DAL vs NYJ: Pick DAL. They have an 80% win probability and are the favorite with 88% of the public picking them.
  2. BUF vs LAS: Pick BUF. They have an 80% win probability and are heavily favored with 95% of the public picking them.
  3. SFO @ LAR: Pick SFO. They have a 77% win probability and are favored with 95% of the public picking them.
  4. PHI vs MIN: Pick PHI. They have a 74% win probability and are heavily favored with 96% of the public picking them.
  5. DET vs SEA: Pick DET. They have a 70% win probability and are favored with 92% of the public picking them.
  6. NYG @ ARI: Pick NYG. They have a 69% win probability and are favored with 81% of the public picking them.
  7. DEN vs WAS: Pick DEN. They have a 64% win probability and are favored with 73% of the public picking them.
  8. CIN vs BAL: Pick CIN. They have a 63% win probability and are slightly favored with 55% of the public picking them.
  9. NOS @ CAR: Pick NOS. They have a 62% win probability and are favored with 91% of the public picking them.
  10. LAC @ TEN: Pick LAC. They have a 62% win probability and are favored with 87% of the public picking them.
  11. KCC @ JAC: Pick KCC. They have a 60% win probability and are favored with 79% of the public picking them.
  12. TBB vs CHI: Pick TBB. They have a 60% win probability and are favored with 69% of the public picking them.
  13. MIA @ NEP: Pick MIA. They have a 56% win probability and are favored with 87% of the public picking them.
  14. CLE @ PIT: Pick CLE. They have a 55% win probability and are slightly favored with 64% of the public picking them.
  15. IND @ HOU: Pick IND. They have a 54% win probability and are slightly favored with 65% of the public picking them.
  16. GBP @ ATL: Pick GBP. They have a 53% win probability and are slightly favored with 70% of the public picking them.

These picks are based on the win probabilities and public pick percentages provided, as well as the lessons learned from the previous week.

Based on the provided table for Week 2 and the picks I made, I did not identify any specific “money picks” for this week. A “money pick” typically refers to a selection that goes against the grain of popular opinion and has a higher potential payout due to its lower likelihood of occurring.

In the context of this pool, a money pick would be selecting an underdog that not only has a reasonable chance of winning (based on win probability) but is also being significantly underpicked by the public. This would provide a strategic advantage if the underdog were to win, as fewer participants in the pool would gain points from that particular game.

While there were a few games where the underdog had a decent win probability, the difference in public pick percentages wasn’t significant enough to warrant them as strong money pick candidates. Additionally, the SOP emphasizes a more conservative approach, focusing on win probabilities and being discerning about picking underdogs.

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    • #6281 Reply
      Joyce Buala
      Member

      Based on the updated SOP version 1.1 and the provided Week 2 table, here are the picks: DAL vs NYJ: Pick DAL. They have an 80% win probability an
      [See the full post at: Chat GPT Week 2 Picks]

    • #6286 Reply

      How do I determine the confidence level. they go from 1 to 9 to 0 thru 6

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