Hey Confidence Pool Picks Community! Week 16 is rolling, and the competition is heating up. Last week’s Risk Picks, the Atlanta Falcons, Minnesota Vikings, Baltimore Ravens, Washington Commanders, and New Orleans Saints, delivered some thrilling upsets. Let’s keep that winning energy going strong into another action-packed week!
Big shoutout to our Week 15 Premium Pool standouts! Talty claimed the top spot with an outstanding performance, while KC4ME and DOLARMA shared second place in a tight race. Buffalo Pills rounded out the leaderboard with a well-earned third.
Applause for our Week 15 stars in the CPP Nation Pool! miklor held onto the crown with another stellar showing, JockMcGillicutty claimed second place, and Nitro closed out the top three with a strong finish.
Week 15 brought standout performances from every corner, setting the stage for an intense Week 16. The race for the top spot is tighter than ever—now’s the time to step up and make your move!
| Total Season: | 1301 | 1230 | 1307 | 1238 |
| Scores from last week: | Base pick | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
| Week 15 | 99 | 103 | 109 | 112 |
Here are this week’s updated base picks.
Premium Picks
To see the whole table, subscribe to Premium Picks here.
Already got premium picks? Sign in here to see your picks.
Premium Picks[$]
Free Premium Picks Preview
Keep an eye on our $ Score metrics to uncover the top-value picks and maximize your points.
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.
[Updated Picks on 12/19/2025]
Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):
- New York Jets over New Orleans Saints: 29% win probability, 5% pick-rate
- Indianapolis Colts over San Francisco 49ers: 28% win probability, 8% pick-rate [Just added: Candidate High Risk pick,12/19/2025]
- Washington Commanders over Philadelphia Eagles: 25% win probability, 3% pick-rate
Our Week 16 High Risk Pick goes to the New York Jets over the New Orleans Saints, with just a 29% win probability and a 5% pick rate. A bold choice with big potential, perfect for those willing to take a calculated risk for a major payoff.
Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):
- New York Giants over Minnesota Vikings: 42% win probability, 11% pick-rate
- Baltimore Ravens over New England Patriots: 60% win probability, 34% pick-rate [Just added: Candidate Medium Risk pick,12/19/2025]
- Jacksonville Jaguars over Denver Broncos: 37% win probability, 12% pick-rate
[From Wednesday picks] Our Week 16 Medium Risk Pick goes to the New York Giants over the Minnesota Vikings, with a 41% win probability and a 12% pick rate. A smart, strategic play that balances risk and reward, ideal for those looking to gain an edge without going all in on uncertainty.
[Updated Picks on 12/19/2025] Our medium-risk pick for Week 16, updated as of today, is the Baltimore Ravens over the New England Patriots. With a 60% win probability and a 34% pick-rate.
Week 16 is underway, and the stakes couldn’t be higher! Each choice could shift the standings, so stay sharp, trust your gut, and push hard for victory!
Suggested picks by risk
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.
› Forums › 2025 Week 16 Regular Confidence Pool Picks