- This topic has 7 replies, 5 voices, and was last updated 1 week, 1 day ago by Carl Thompson.
-
AuthorPosts
-
-
Joey De la PenaModerator
Hey Confidence Pool Picks Nation! Get ready—Week 5 of the 2024 season is here, and it’s going to be exciting! Week 4 delivered some exciting surprises
[See the full post at: 2024 Week 5 Regular Confidence Pool Picks] -
Annette WidlackiParticipant
Hi if we take a medium or high risk bet do we leave it ranked as is or drop it low?
-
Dale TingKeymaster
Hi Annette, if you’re trying to win the week (vs. win the season) you generally would want to go high with it. Check out this article for details: https://confidencepoolpicks.com/nfl-weekly-confidence-pool-picks-the-basics/
-
-
Justin WybengaParticipant
Hello, been using you guys for 3 years now with good success, thanks.
Can you please tell us a little more about how the new $ Score numbers are calculated and what factors are behind them? For example why is CLE a 6.9 and LAR only a 2.2, with similar win probability % etc.
Also how does it factor into ‘risk’ considerations? Meaning, that based on the $ Score indicating a better pick, wouldn’t it make more sense to pick NYG on the suggested pick list after CLE instead of NYJ? Wouldn’t a 6.4 rated pick be less ‘risky’ than a 5.2 rated pick?
Thanks for the clarification, Appreciate the work you do
-
Dale TingKeymaster
Hey Justin, the pick score is something we’re kinda dabbling with. Still a work in progress. But yes, the higher score would be a better pick by the numbers, but some people still may want to make other picks because they have other info or maybe they know a lot of people in their league are picking them.
-
-
Carl ThompsonParticipant
You have NYJ in the some risk column with 14 points, but picked MIN in both the med risk and high risk. Can you please explain your logic? I would think putting 14 points on an upset would be considered a high risk move.
-
Dale TingKeymaster
Hi Carl, yes if you’re looking to win the week (vs win the season) you would want to take that risk. I went with Denver for 16 last week in one pool and when they pulled the upset I won the week. You will lose much of the time, but hopefully you’d hit 4-5 times a year and be in the money.
Check out this article: https://confidencepoolpicks.com/nfl-weekly-confidence-pool-picks-the-basics/
-
Carl ThompsonParticipant
Yes, if you pick a huge upset then yes you will be in the money. But, it would be helpful if you had some logic with your pick. Other than stats.
-
-
-
AuthorPosts