Welcome to Week 10!

We’re at the halfway point. Are you doing well? Doing bad? One reader isn’t doing so well and is asking for advice, so we wrote up a blog post:

Halfway point: I’m not doing too well, any suggestions (link to this: https://confidencepoolpicks.com/halfway-point-im-not-doing-too-well-any-suggestions/)

Week 9 Recap: 2 of our money picks hit last week! NYG was able to beat LAS with a balanced attack 23-16. KC showed no love as they won and beat GB 13-7. MIN and PHI were close but just came up short.

Here are the FREE picks for the week.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob Underdog Win Prob
14
BUF
 -13 87% @
NYJ
 13%
13
ARI
 -10 81% vs
CAR
 19%
12
PIT
 -9 80% vs
DET
 20%
11
TB
 -9.5 80% @
WSH
 20%
10
IND
 -10 80% vs
JAX
 20%
9
DAL
 -10 79% vs
ATL
 21%
8
BAL
 -7.5 75% @
MIA
 25%
7
LAR
 -4.5 67% @
SF
 33%
6
GB
 -4 66% vs
SEA
 34%
5
TEN
 -3 59% vs
NO
 41%
4
DEN
 -2.5 59% vs
PHI
 41%
3
KC
 -3 59% @
LAS
 41%
2
LAC
 -2.5 57% vs
MIN
 43%
1
NE
 -1 50% vs
CLE
 50%

Here are your PREMIUM picks.

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Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
14
BUF
 -13 87% 98% 11.6 @
NYJ
 13% 2% 4.4 31-17
13
ARI
 -10 81% 97% 10.1 vs
CAR
 19% 3% 4.5 28-17
12
PIT
 -9 80% 91% 8.7 vs
DET
 20% 9% 3.4 26-17
11
TB
 -9.5 80% 99% 11.3 @
WSH
 20% 1% 4.7 31-21
10
IND
 -10 80% 97% 9.5 vs
JAX
 20% 3% 3.8 29-19
9
DAL
 -10 79% 95% 8.5 vs
ATL
 21% 5% 3.8 32-22
8
BAL
 -7.5 75% 98% 10.9 @
MIA
 25% 2% 3.7 27-20
7
LAR
 -4.5 67% 93% 7.7 @
SF
 33% 7% 4.9 27-23
6
GB
 -4 66% 82% 5.5 vs
SEA
 34% 18% 3.6 28-23
5
TEN
 -3 59% 87% 6.5 vs
NO
 41% 13% 3.9 24-21
4
DEN
 -2.5 59% 76% 4.5 vs
PHI
 41% 24% 3.4 24-21
3
KC
 -3 59% 62% 4.5 @
LAS
 41% 38% 3.4 28-24
2
LAC
 -2.5 57% 81% 5.4 vs
MIN
 43% 19% 3.5 27-25
1
NE
 -1 50% 49% 3.7 vs
CLE
 50% 51% 3.6 24-22

Green Picks: WSH has a 20% win probability but is only 2% picked. SF has a 33% win probability and is being picked 6%. Lastly, MIA  has a 25% win probability and is 4% picked.

Thursday Update: WSH still has s 20% win probability but is only picked 1% now. SF pick percentage went down by 1%. MIA win percentage went down by 2%. Their win probability stayed the same.

Yellow Picks: NO has a 41% win probability, while being picked 11%. MIN is a repeat money pick this week with a 43% win probability and is being picked 20%.

Thursday Update: MIN pick percentage went down to 18%.

Saturday Update: NO pick percentage is up to 12%. MIN pick percentage went up to 19%.

Blue Picks: No blue picks this week.

And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:

Point Base (Lowest) Some Risk Med Risk High Risk
14
BUF
BUF
BUF
BUF
13
ARI
ARI
NO
SF
12
PIT
PIT
ARI
ARI
11
TB
TB
PIT
PIT
10
IND
IND
TB
TB
9
DAL
DAL
IND
IND
8
BAL
BAL
DAL
DAL
7
LAR
LAR
BAL
BAL
6
GB
GB
LAR
GB
5
TEN
TEN
GB
TEN
4
DEN
DEN
DEN
DEN
3
KC
KC
KC
KC
2
LAC
LAC
LAC
LAC
1
NE
NE
NE
NE