Welcome to Week 10!
We’re at the halfway point. Are you doing well? Doing bad? One reader isn’t doing so well and is asking for advice, so we wrote up a blog post:
Halfway point: I’m not doing too well, any suggestions (link to this: https://
Week 9 Recap: 2 of our money picks hit last week! NYG was able to beat LAS with a balanced attack 23-16. KC showed no love as they won and beat GB 13-7. MIN and PHI were close but just came up short.
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | ![]() |
-13 | 87% | @ | ![]() |
13% |
13 | ![]() |
-10 | 81% | vs | ![]() |
19% |
12 | ![]() |
-9 | 80% | vs | ![]() |
20% |
11 | ![]() |
-9.5 | 80% | @ | ![]() |
20% |
10 | ![]() |
-10 | 80% | vs | ![]() |
20% |
9 | ![]() |
-10 | 79% | vs | ![]() |
21% |
8 | ![]() |
-7.5 | 75% | @ | ![]() |
25% |
7 | ![]() |
-4.5 | 67% | @ | ![]() |
33% |
6 | ![]() |
-4 | 66% | vs | ![]() |
34% |
5 | ![]() |
-3 | 59% | vs | ![]() |
41% |
4 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 59% | vs | ![]() |
41% |
3 | ![]() |
-3 | 59% | @ | ![]() |
41% |
2 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 57% | vs | ![]() |
43% |
1 | ![]() |
-1 | 50% | vs | ![]() |
50% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
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Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 |
![]() |
-13 | 87% | 98% | 11.6 | @ |
![]() |
13% | 2% | 4.4 | 31-17 |
13 |
![]() |
-10 | 81% | 97% | 10.1 | vs |
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19% | 3% | 4.5 | 28-17 |
12 |
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-9 | 80% | 91% | 8.7 | vs |
![]() |
20% | 9% | 3.4 | 26-17 |
11 |
![]() |
-9.5 | 80% | 99% | 11.3 | @ |
![]() |
20% | 1% | 4.7 | 31-21 |
10 |
![]() |
-10 | 80% | 97% | 9.5 | vs |
![]() |
20% | 3% | 3.8 | 29-19 |
9 |
![]() |
-10 | 79% | 95% | 8.5 | vs |
![]() |
21% | 5% | 3.8 | 32-22 |
8 |
![]() |
-7.5 | 75% | 98% | 10.9 | @ |
![]() |
25% | 2% | 3.7 | 27-20 |
7 |
![]() |
-4.5 | 67% | 93% | 7.7 | @ |
![]() |
33% | 7% | 4.9 | 27-23 |
6 |
![]() |
-4 | 66% | 82% | 5.5 | vs |
![]() |
34% | 18% | 3.6 | 28-23 |
5 |
![]() |
-3 | 59% | 87% | 6.5 | vs |
![]() |
41% | 13% | 3.9 | 24-21 |
4 |
![]() |
-2.5 | 59% | 76% | 4.5 | vs |
![]() |
41% | 24% | 3.4 | 24-21 |
3 |
![]() |
-3 | 59% | 62% | 4.5 | @ |
![]() |
41% | 38% | 3.4 | 28-24 |
2 |
![]() |
-2.5 | 57% | 81% | 5.4 | vs |
![]() |
43% | 19% | 3.5 | 27-25 |
1 |
![]() |
-1 | 50% | 49% | 3.7 | vs |
![]() |
50% | 51% | 3.6 | 24-22 |
Green Picks: WSH has a 20% win probability but is only 2% picked. SF has a 33% win probability and is being picked 6%. Lastly, MIA has a 25% win probability and is 4% picked.
Thursday Update: WSH still has s 20% win probability but is only picked 1% now. SF pick percentage went down by 1%. MIA win percentage went down by 2%. Their win probability stayed the same.
Yellow Picks: NO has a 41% win probability, while being picked 11%. MIN is a repeat money pick this week with a 43% win probability and is being picked 20%.
Thursday Update: MIN pick percentage went down to 18%.
Saturday Update: NO pick percentage is up to 12%. MIN pick percentage went up to 19%.
Blue Picks: No blue picks this week.
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
---|---|---|---|---|
14 |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
13 |
ARI |
ARI |
NO |
SF |
12 |
PIT |
PIT |
ARI |
ARI |
11 |
TB |
TB |
PIT |
PIT |
10 |
IND |
IND |
TB |
TB |
9 |
DAL |
DAL |
IND |
IND |
8 |
BAL |
BAL |
DAL |
DAL |
7 |
LAR |
LAR |
BAL |
BAL |
6 |
GB |
GB |
LAR |
GB |
5 |
TEN |
TEN |
GB |
TEN |
4 |
DEN |
DEN |
DEN |
DEN |
3 |
KC |
KC |
KC |
KC |
2 |
LAC |
LAC |
LAC |
LAC |
1 |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |