Welcome to Week 14!
Week 13 Recap: We had two picks hit this week. NE defeated BUF 14-10 to keep 1st place in the AFC East. WSH beat LAS 17-15, so the Taylor Heinicke story continues!
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | ![]() |
-12.5 | 87% | vs | ![]() |
13% |
13 | ![]() |
-9.5 | 81% | vs | ![]() |
19% |
12 | ![]() |
-8.5 | 81% | vs | ![]() |
19% |
11 | ![]() |
-10.5 | 78% | vs | ![]() |
23% |
10 | ![]() |
-8 | 77% | vs | ![]() |
23% |
9 | ![]() |
-7.5 | 76% | @ | ![]() |
24% |
8 | ![]() |
-5 | 67% | @ | ![]() |
33% |
7 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 64% | @ | ![]() |
36% |
6 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 62% | vs | ![]() |
38% |
5 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 62% | vs | ![]() |
38% |
4 | ![]() |
-3 | 59% | vs | ![]() |
41% |
3 | ![]() |
-3 | 58% | vs | ![]() |
42% |
2 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 56% | vs | ![]() |
44% |
1 | ![]() |
-1 | 52% | @ | ![]() |
48% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 |
![]() |
-12.5 | 87% | 97% | 11.8 | vs |
![]() |
13% | 3% | 4.8 | 28-16 |
13 |
![]() |
-9.5 | 81% | 96% | 10.1 | vs |
![]() |
19% | 4% | 4.2 | 29-20 |
12 |
![]() |
-8.5 | 81% | 99% | 11.3 | vs |
![]() |
19% | 1% | 4.5 | 26-18 |
11 |
![]() |
-10.5 | 78% | 99% | 11.0 | vs |
![]() |
23% | 1% | 4.6 | 27-17 |
10 |
![]() |
-8 | 77% | 96% | 9.6 | vs |
![]() |
23% | 4% | 3.8 | 25-17 |
9 |
![]() |
-7.5 | 76% | 96% | 9.0 | @ |
![]() |
24% | 4% | 4.1 | 25-17 |
8 |
![]() |
-5 | 67% | 89% | 7.6 | @ |
![]() |
33% | 11% | 3.3 | 25-19 |
7 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 64% | 76% | 6.8 | @ |
![]() |
36% | 24% | 3.7 | 26-22 |
6 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 62% | 68% | 5.2 | vs |
![]() |
38% | 32% | 4.1 | 24-20 |
5 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 62% | 84% | 6.5 | vs |
![]() |
38% | 16% | 3.9 | 28-25 |
4 |
![]() |
-3 | 59% | 71% | 5.4 | vs |
![]() |
41% | 29% | 3.8 | 23-20 |
3 |
![]() |
-3 | 58% | 76% | 5.4 | vs |
![]() |
42% | 24% | 4.3 | 28-24 |
2 |
![]() |
-2.5 | 56% | 45% | 3.6 | vs |
![]() |
44% | 55% | 4.3 | 22-20 |
1 |
![]() |
-1 | 52% | 32% | 4.1 | @ |
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48% | 68% | 4.9 | 25-23 |
Green Picks: JAX has a 19% win probability and is only being picked 4%. DET has a 23% win probability and is only picked 8% of the time.
Thursday Update: NYG and HOU have been added as green picks. NYG has a win rate of 23% and is picked 1% of the time. HOU has a win probability of 24% and is being picked 5% of the time. JAX has the same win rate but is only being picked 1% now. DET pick rate went down to 5%.
Yellow Picks: ATL has a 41% win probability and is picked 15%. SF has a big win probability at 48% and is being picked 30% of the time.
Thursday Update: LAR and BUF are now yellow picks. LAR has a 42% win rate and is being picked only 23%. BUF has a 38% win rate and 15% pick rate. ATL pick rate went up to 27%. SF win rate went up to 52% and is still being picked at 30%
Blue Picks: There are no blue picks at the moment.
Saturday Update: No changes to our picks.
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
---|---|---|---|---|
14 |
GB |
GB |
LAR |
NYG |
13 |
KC |
KC |
GB |
GB |
12 |
TEN |
TEN |
KC |
KC |
11 |
LAC |
LAC |
TEN |
TEN |
10 |
DEN |
DEN |
LAC |
DEN |
9 |
SEA |
SEA |
DEN |
SEA |
8 |
NO |
NO |
SEA |
NO |
7 |
DAL |
DAL |
NO |
DAL |
6 |
MIN |
MIN |
DAL |
MIN |
5 |
TB |
TB |
MIN |
TB |
4 |
CAR |
CAR |
TB |
CAR |
3 |
ARI |
ARI |
CAR |
ARI |
2 |
CLE |
CLE |
CLE |
CLE |
1 |
CIN |
CIN |
CIN |
CIN |