Welcome to Week 14!

Week 13 Recap: We had two picks hit this week. NE defeated BUF 14-10 to keep 1st place in the AFC East. WSH beat LAS 17-15, so the Taylor Heinicke story continues!

How did you do last week?
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Here are the FREE picks for the week.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob Underdog Win Prob
14
GB
-12.5 87% vs
CHI
13%
13
KC
-9.5 81% vs
LAS
19%
12
TEN
-8.5 81% vs
JAX
19%
11
LAC
-10.5 78% vs
NYG
23%
10
DEN
-8 77% vs
DET
23%
9
SEA
-7.5 76% @
HOU
24%
8
NO
-5 67% @
NYJ
33%
7
DAL
-3.5 64% @
WSH
36%
6
MIN
-3.5 62% vs
PIT
38%
5
TB
-3.5 62% vs
BUF
38%
4
CAR
-3 59% vs
ATL
41%
3
ARI
-3 58% vs
LAR
42%
2
CLE
-2.5 56% vs
BAL
44%
1
SF
-1 52% @
CIN
48%

Here are your PREMIUM picks.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
14
GB
-12.5 87% 97% 11.8 vs
CHI
13% 3% 4.8 28-16
13
KC
-9.5 81% 96% 10.1 vs
LAS
19% 4% 4.2 29-20
12
TEN
-8.5 81% 99% 11.3 vs
JAX
19% 1% 4.5 26-18
11
LAC
-10.5 78% 99% 11.0 vs
NYG
23% 1% 4.6 27-17
10
DEN
-8 77% 96% 9.6 vs
DET
23% 4% 3.8 25-17
9
SEA
-7.5 76% 96% 9.0 @
HOU
24% 4% 4.1 25-17
8
NO
-5 67% 89% 7.6 @
NYJ
33% 11% 3.3 25-19
7
DAL
-3.5 64% 76% 6.8 @
WSH
36% 24% 3.7 26-22
6
MIN
-3.5 62% 68% 5.2 vs
PIT
38% 32% 4.1 24-20
5
TB
-3.5 62% 84% 6.5 vs
BUF
38% 16% 3.9 28-25
4
CAR
-3 59% 71% 5.4 vs
ATL
41% 29% 3.8 23-20
3
ARI
-3 58% 76% 5.4 vs
LAR
42% 24% 4.3 28-24
2
CLE
-2.5 56% 45% 3.6 vs
BAL
44% 55% 4.3 22-20
1
SF
-1 52% 32% 4.1 @
CIN
48% 68% 4.9 25-23

Green Picks: JAX has a 19% win probability and is only being picked 4%. DET has a 23% win probability and is only picked 8% of the time.

Thursday Update: NYG and HOU have been added as green picks. NYG has a win rate of 23% and is picked 1% of the time. HOU has a win probability of 24% and is being picked 5% of the time. JAX has the same win rate but is only being picked 1% now. DET pick rate went down to 5%.

Yellow Picks: ATL has a 41% win probability and is picked 15%. SF has a big win probability at 48% and is being picked 30% of the time.

Thursday Update: LAR and BUF are now yellow picks. LAR has a 42% win rate and is being picked only 23%. BUF has a 38% win rate and 15% pick rate. ATL pick rate went up to 27%. SF win rate went up to 52% and is still being picked at 30%

Blue Picks: There are no blue picks at the moment.

Saturday Update: No changes to our picks.

And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:

Point Base (Lowest) Some Risk Med Risk High Risk
14
GB
GB
LAR
NYG
13
KC
KC
GB
GB
12
TEN
TEN
KC
KC
11
LAC
LAC
TEN
TEN
10
DEN
DEN
LAC
DEN
9
SEA
SEA
DEN
SEA
8
NO
NO
SEA
NO
7
DAL
DAL
NO
DAL
6
MIN
MIN
DAL
MIN
5
TB
TB
MIN
TB
4
CAR
CAR
TB
CAR
3
ARI
ARI
CAR
ARI
2
CLE
CLE
CLE
CLE
1
CIN
CIN
CIN
CIN