Welcome to Week 15!

Week 14 Recap: 3 of our money picks hit this week. ATL won against CAR 29-21, SF won 26-23 vs CIN. LAR beat ARI 30-23.

How did you do last week?
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Here are the FREE picks for the week.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob Underdog Win Prob
16
ARI
-13.5 87% @
DET
13%
15
TB
-11 83% vs
NO
17%
14
DAL
-10.5 82% @
NYG
18%
13
BUF
-10 81% vs
CAR
19%
12
SF
-8.5 80% vs
ATL
20%
11
MIA
-8.5 78% vs
NYJ
22%
10
LAR
-5.5 70% vs
SEA
30%
9
GB
-5.5 69% @
BAL
31%
8
PHI
-5.5 67% vs
WSH
33%
7
MIN
-3.5 65% @
CHI
35%
6
JAX
-3.5 63% vs
HOU
37%
5
KC
-3 62% @
LAC
38%
4
LAS
-3 60% @
CLE
40%
3
IND
-2.5 58% vs
NE
42%
2
PIT
-1.5 56% vs
TEN
44%
1
DEN
-2 56% vs
CIN
44%

Here are your PREMIUM picks.

Base Pick Pick Spread Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Underdog Win Prob % Pick Avg Conf Pred Score
16
ARI
-13.5 87% 99% 14.3 @
DET
13% 1% 5.5 31-17
15
TB
-11 83% 98% 12.2 vs
NO
17% 2% 5.7 29-18
14
DAL
-10.5 82% 98% 11.9 @
NYG
18% 2% 4.5 28-17
13
BUF
-10 81% 99% 13.3 vs
CAR
19% 1% 5.7 27-17
12
SF
-8.5 80% 98% 10.8 vs
ATL
20% 2% 5.3 27-19
11
MIA
-8.5 78% 98% 10.5 vs
NYJ
22% 2% 4.5 26-17
10
LAR
-5.5 70% 94% 9.7 vs
SEA
30% 6% 5.9 26-21
9
GB
-5.5 69% 95% 9.8 @
BAL
31% 5% 4.9 25-19
8
PHI
-5.5 67% 81% 6.4 vs
WSH
33% 19% 4.6 25-19
7
MIN
-3.5 65% 85% 7.3 @
CHI
35% 15% 4.3 24-20
6
JAX
-3.5 63% 70% 4.2 vs
HOU
37% 30% 3.6 22-18
5
KC
-3 62% 80% 7.5 @
LAC
38% 20% 4.0 28-24
4
LAS
-3 60% 39% 4.8 @
CLE
40% 61% 6.4 22-18
3
IND
-2.5 58% 41% 4.1 vs
NE
42% 59% 5.1 24-22
2
PIT
-1.5 56% 29% 4.1 vs
TEN
44% 71% 6.1 22-20
1
DEN
-2 56% 35% 4.6 vs
CIN
44% 65% 5.2 23-21

Green Picks: SEA has a 30% win probability but is only being picked 4% of the time. NYJ has a 22% win probability and a 2% pick rate. ATL has a win rate of 20% and is being picked 3%. LAS has a 40% win probability and is being picked 7% of the time. BAL has a 31% win rate and is picked 8%.

Wednesday Update: LAS pick rate went up to 9% and BAL pick rate went down to 7%.

Saturday Update: SEA pick rate went up to 5%. ATL pick percentage is down to 2%. LAS is now a blue pick, their pick rate went up to 35% and win probability up to 60%. BAL pick rate is down to 6%.

Yellow Picks: CHI has a 35% win rate and is picked 21%. LAC has a 38% win rate and is being picked 18% of the time. PIT has a 44% win rate and is picked 25%.

Wednesday Update: CHI pick rate is down 19%. LAC pick rate went down to 17%. 

Saturday Update: CHI pick rate is down to 16%. LAC pick rate is up to 20%. PIT win probability is up to 56% and is now being picked 26% of the time. 

Blue Picks: DEN has a 56% win rate and is picked only 39%.

Wednesday Update: DEN pick rate went down to 37%.

Saturday Update: LAS is now a blue pick with a 35% win rate and pick rate of 60%. DEN pick rate is down to 35%.

And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:

Point Base (Lowest) Some Risk Med Risk High Risk
16
ARI
LAS
LAC
SEA
15
TB
ARI
ARI
ARI
14
DAL
TB
TB
TB
13
BUF
DAL
DAL
DAL
12
SF
BUF
BUF
BUF
11
MIA
SF
SF
SF
10
LAR
MIA
MIA
MIA
9
GB
LAR
LAR
GB
8
PHI
GB
GB
PHI
7
MIN
PHI
PHI
MIN
6
JAX
MIN
MIN
JAX
5
KC
JAX
JAX
KC
4
CLE
KC
CLE
CLE
3
IND
IND
IND
IND
2
TEN
TEN
TEN
TEN
1
DEN
NE
DEN
DEN