Welcome to Week 15!
Week 14 Recap: 3 of our money picks hit this week. ATL won against CAR 29-21, SF won 26-23 vs CIN. LAR beat ARI 30-23.
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | ![]() |
-13.5 | 87% | @ | ![]() |
13% |
15 | ![]() |
-11 | 83% | vs | ![]() |
17% |
14 | ![]() |
-10.5 | 82% | @ | ![]() |
18% |
13 | ![]() |
-10 | 81% | vs | ![]() |
19% |
12 | ![]() |
-8.5 | 80% | vs | ![]() |
20% |
11 | ![]() |
-8.5 | 78% | vs | ![]() |
22% |
10 | ![]() |
-5.5 | 70% | vs | ![]() |
30% |
9 | ![]() |
-5.5 | 69% | @ | ![]() |
31% |
8 | ![]() |
-5.5 | 67% | vs | ![]() |
33% |
7 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 65% | @ | ![]() |
35% |
6 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 63% | vs | ![]() |
37% |
5 | ![]() |
-3 | 62% | @ | ![]() |
38% |
4 | ![]() |
-3 | 60% | @ | ![]() |
40% |
3 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 58% | vs | ![]() |
42% |
2 | ![]() |
-1.5 | 56% | vs | ![]() |
44% |
1 | ![]() |
-2 | 56% | vs | ![]() |
44% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 |
![]() |
-13.5 | 87% | 99% | 14.3 | @ |
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13% | 1% | 5.5 | 31-17 |
15 |
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-11 | 83% | 98% | 12.2 | vs |
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17% | 2% | 5.7 | 29-18 |
14 |
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-10.5 | 82% | 98% | 11.9 | @ |
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18% | 2% | 4.5 | 28-17 |
13 |
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-10 | 81% | 99% | 13.3 | vs |
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19% | 1% | 5.7 | 27-17 |
12 |
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-8.5 | 80% | 98% | 10.8 | vs |
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20% | 2% | 5.3 | 27-19 |
11 |
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-8.5 | 78% | 98% | 10.5 | vs |
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22% | 2% | 4.5 | 26-17 |
10 |
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-5.5 | 70% | 94% | 9.7 | vs |
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30% | 6% | 5.9 | 26-21 |
9 |
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-5.5 | 69% | 95% | 9.8 | @ |
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31% | 5% | 4.9 | 25-19 |
8 |
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-5.5 | 67% | 81% | 6.4 | vs |
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33% | 19% | 4.6 | 25-19 |
7 |
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-3.5 | 65% | 85% | 7.3 | @ |
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35% | 15% | 4.3 | 24-20 |
6 |
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-3.5 | 63% | 70% | 4.2 | vs |
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37% | 30% | 3.6 | 22-18 |
5 |
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-3 | 62% | 80% | 7.5 | @ |
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38% | 20% | 4.0 | 28-24 |
4 |
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-3 | 60% | 39% | 4.8 | @ |
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40% | 61% | 6.4 | 22-18 |
3 |
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-2.5 | 58% | 41% | 4.1 | vs |
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42% | 59% | 5.1 | 24-22 |
2 |
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-1.5 | 56% | 29% | 4.1 | vs |
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44% | 71% | 6.1 | 22-20 |
1 |
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-2 | 56% | 35% | 4.6 | vs |
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44% | 65% | 5.2 | 23-21 |
Green Picks: SEA has a 30% win probability but is only being picked 4% of the time. NYJ has a 22% win probability and a 2% pick rate. ATL has a win rate of 20% and is being picked 3%. LAS has a 40% win probability and is being picked 7% of the time. BAL has a 31% win rate and is picked 8%.
Wednesday Update: LAS pick rate went up to 9% and BAL pick rate went down to 7%.
Saturday Update: SEA pick rate went up to 5%. ATL pick percentage is down to 2%. LAS is now a blue pick, their pick rate went up to 35% and win probability up to 60%. BAL pick rate is down to 6%.
Yellow Picks: CHI has a 35% win rate and is picked 21%. LAC has a 38% win rate and is being picked 18% of the time. PIT has a 44% win rate and is picked 25%.
Wednesday Update: CHI pick rate is down 19%. LAC pick rate went down to 17%.
Saturday Update: CHI pick rate is down to 16%. LAC pick rate is up to 20%. PIT win probability is up to 56% and is now being picked 26% of the time.
Blue Picks: DEN has a 56% win rate and is picked only 39%.
Wednesday Update: DEN pick rate went down to 37%.
Saturday Update: LAS is now a blue pick with a 35% win rate and pick rate of 60%. DEN pick rate is down to 35%.
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
---|---|---|---|---|
16 |
ARI |
LAS |
LAC |
SEA |
15 |
TB |
ARI |
ARI |
ARI |
14 |
DAL |
TB |
TB |
TB |
13 |
BUF |
DAL |
DAL |
DAL |
12 |
SF |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
11 |
MIA |
SF |
SF |
SF |
10 |
LAR |
MIA |
MIA |
MIA |
9 |
GB |
LAR |
LAR |
GB |
8 |
PHI |
GB |
GB |
PHI |
7 |
MIN |
PHI |
PHI |
MIN |
6 |
JAX |
MIN |
MIN |
JAX |
5 |
KC |
JAX |
JAX |
KC |
4 |
CLE |
KC |
CLE |
CLE |
3 |
IND |
IND |
IND |
IND |
2 |
TEN |
TEN |
TEN |
TEN |
1 |
DEN |
NE |
DEN |
DEN |