Welcome to Week 3! It’s time for more Confidence Pool Picks.
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | ![]() |
-10 | 84% | vs | ![]() |
16% |
15 | ![]() |
-8 | 80% | @ | ![]() |
20% |
14 | ![]() |
-7.5 | 78% | @ | ![]() |
22% |
13 | ![]() |
-0 | 76% | vs | ![]() |
34% |
12 | ![]() |
-7 | 76% | vs | ![]() |
24% |
11 | ![]() |
-7.5 | 75% | @ | ![]() |
25% |
10 | ![]() |
-7 | 74% | vs | ![]() |
26% |
9 | ![]() |
-5 | 68% | vs | ![]() |
32% |
8 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 66% | vs | ![]() |
34% |
7 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 62% | vs | ![]() |
38% |
6 | ![]() |
-3 | 60% | vs | ![]() |
40% |
5 | ![]() |
-3 | 58% | vs | ![]() |
42% |
4 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 58% | vs | ![]() |
42% |
3 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 58% | vs | ![]() |
42% |
2 | ![]() |
-2 | 55% | @ | ![]() |
45% |
1 | ![]() |
-1 | 48% | @ | ![]() |
52% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
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Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 |
![]() |
-10 | 84% | 99% | 12.5 | vs |
![]() |
16% | 1% | 5.0 | 26-16 |
15 |
![]() |
-8 | 80% | 96% | 10.5 | @ |
![]() |
20% | 4% | 4.2 | 26-17 |
14 |
![]() |
-7.5 | 78% | 97% | 12.5 | @ |
![]() |
22% | 3% | 4.3 | 29-21 |
13 |
![]() |
-0 | 76% | 91% | 9.8 | vs |
![]() |
34% | 9% | 3.7 | 0-0 |
12 |
![]() |
-7 | 76% | 98% | 12.2 | vs |
![]() |
24% | 2% | 4.7 | 27-19 |
11 |
![]() |
-7.5 | 75% | 98% | 12.2 | @ |
![]() |
25% | 2% | 5.1 | 29-22 |
10 |
![]() |
-7 | 74% | 97% | 11.0 | vs |
![]() |
26% | 3% | 4.0 | 31-23 |
9 |
![]() |
-5 | 68% | 95% | 9.0 | vs |
![]() |
32% | 5% | 4.3 | 25-20 |
8 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 66% | 96% | 9.8 | vs |
![]() |
34% | 4% | 4.4 | 24-21 |
7 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 62% | 88% | 7.4 | vs |
![]() |
38% | 12% | 4.7 | 28-24 |
6 |
![]() |
-3 | 60% | 52% | 4.7 | vs |
![]() |
40% | 48% | 4.5 | 27-24 |
5 |
![]() |
-3 | 58% | 64% | 5.2 | vs |
![]() |
42% | 36% | 4.3 | 23-20 |
4 |
![]() |
-2.5 | 58% | 84% | 7.5 | vs |
![]() |
42% | 16% | 3.8 | 23-20 |
3 |
![]() |
-2.5 | 58% | 66% | 4.5 | vs |
![]() |
42% | 34% | 4.0 | 25-22 |
2 |
![]() |
-2 | 55% | 78% | 6.3 | @ |
![]() |
45% | 22% | 3.7 | 28-26 |
1 |
![]() |
-1 | 48% | 60% | 5.5 | @ |
![]() |
52% | 40% | 3.4 | 28-27 |
[Thursday update: CIN replaces MIN as our yellow pick after some more research and news.]
[Saturday update: SEA has dropped 2 and LAR is now favored over TB]
Green Picks: 1. MIA and 2. IND have the green light as our green picks this week. MIA has a 35% chance of winning but are being only picked 5% of the time, while IND has a slightly lower win prob at 30% with 6% picked.
Yellow Picks: CIN is our lone yellow pick this week as they head to Pit and face off against the Steelers.
Blue Picks: SF is the blue pick at 63% win prob but only 54% picked. Will George Kittle ever get an haircut?
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
Our Risk Table is as of Thursday!
Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
---|---|---|---|---|
16 |
DEN |
DEN |
DEN |
DEN |
15 |
CAR |
SF |
CIN |
MIA |
14 |
BAL |
CAR |
CAR |
CAR |
13 |
ARI |
BAL |
BAL |
BAL |
12 |
BUF |
ARI |
ARI |
ARI |
11 |
KC |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
10 |
CLE |
KC |
KC |
KC |
9 |
TEN |
CLE |
CLE |
CLE |
8 |
LAS |
TEN |
TEN |
TEN |
7 |
DAL |
LAS |
LAS |
DAL |
6 |
SEA |
DAL |
DAL |
SEA |
5 |
SF |
SEA |
SEA |
SF |
4 |
PIT |
PIT |
SF |
PIT |
3 |
NYG |
NYG |
NYG |
NYG |
2 |
NE |
NE |
NE |
NE |
1 |
TB |
TB |
TB |
TB |