Welcome to Week 8!
Week 7 Recap: 3 of our money picks hit last week! NYG won decisively over CAR 25-3. Not bad for a team that was being picked only 9%. CIN was another bit hit vs BAL this week with a 41-17 victory. ATL also won their matchup against MIA 30-28 with a Koo’s last second FG.
Here are the FREE picks for the week.
Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | Underdog | Win Prob | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | ![]() |
-14.5 | 90% | @ | ![]() |
10% |
14 | ![]() |
-13.5 | 89% | vs | ![]() |
11% |
13 | ![]() |
-10.5 | 83% | @ | ![]() |
17% |
12 | ![]() |
-10 | 81% | vs | ![]() |
19% |
11 | ![]() |
-6.5 | 73% | vs | ![]() |
27% |
10 | ![]() |
-6 | 70% | @ | ![]() |
30% |
9 | ![]() |
-5 | 70% | vs | ![]() |
30% |
8 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 66% | @ | ![]() |
34% |
7 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 65% | vs | ![]() |
35% |
6 | ![]() |
-3.5 | 64% | @ | ![]() |
36% |
5 | ![]() |
-3 | 62% | vs | ![]() |
38% |
4 | ![]() |
-2.5 | 61% | vs | ![]() |
39% |
3 | ![]() |
-3 | 61% | vs | ![]() |
39% |
2 | ![]() |
-1 | 55% | vs | ![]() |
45% |
1 | ![]() |
-1 | 52% | vs | ![]() |
48% |
Here are your PREMIUM picks.
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Base Pick | Pick | Spread | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Underdog | Win Prob | % Pick | Avg Conf | Pred Score | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 |
![]() |
-14.5 | 90% | 99% | 13.2 | @ |
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10% | 1% | 6.2 | 31-17 |
14 |
![]() |
-13.5 | 89% | 99% | 13.4 | vs |
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11% | 1% | 4.8 | 32-18 |
13 |
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-10.5 | 83% | 99% | 12.5 | @ |
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17% | 1% | 5.3 | 26-16 |
12 |
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-10 | 81% | 96% | 10.5 | vs |
![]() |
19% | 4% | 5.8 | 32-21 |
11 |
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-6.5 | 73% | 80% | 6.4 | vs |
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27% | 20% | 3.9 | 28-22 |
10 |
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-6 | 70% | 95% | 10.3 | @ |
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30% | 5% | 4.4 | 28-22 |
9 |
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-5 | 70% | 90% | 8.8 | vs |
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30% | 10% | 4.7 | 27-22 |
8 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 66% | 70% | 5.8 | @ |
![]() |
34% | 30% | 3.4 | 22-18 |
7 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 65% | 76% | 5.9 | vs |
![]() |
35% | 24% | 4.2 | 23-20 |
6 |
![]() |
-3.5 | 64% | 49% | 4.8 | @ |
![]() |
36% | 51% | 3.2 | 26-22 |
5 |
![]() |
-3 | 62% | 88% | 7.6 | vs |
![]() |
38% | 12% | 3.6 | 24-20 |
4 |
![]() |
-2.5 | 61% | 84% | 5.5 | vs |
![]() |
39% | 16% | 3.8 | 24-22 |
3 |
![]() |
-3 | 61% | 76% | 5.7 | vs |
![]() |
39% | 24% | 4.1 | 24-20 |
2 |
![]() |
-1 | 55% | 30% | 5.2 | vs |
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45% | 70% | 7.5 | 28-27 |
1 |
![]() |
-1 | 52% | 19% | 4.0 | vs |
![]() |
48% | 81% | 7.6 | 26-25 |
Green Picks: NO has a 30% of winning but is only being picked 4%. NE has a 30% win percentage but is only being picked 10%. JAX is touted with a 39% win percentage and is being picked only by 10%. Fun fact: Jacksonville is the largest city by land mass in America.
Thursday Update: NO has been added to our green picks with their odds. NE pick rate went down to 9%. JAX win probability is down to 38% and their pick % went up by 1 to 11%.
Saturday Update: NO has increased being picked by 1%.
Yellow Picks: IND has a 59% chance of winning and is being picked 14% in their matchup. That’s some serious value. MIN has a 42% win percentage and 15% picked.
Thursday Update: IND now has a 52% of winning and 16% picked. MIN is increased to 45% and is picked 16%.
Saturday Update: IND has increased being picked by 1% to 17%. MIN also increased to being picked to 19%.
Blue Picks: PHI is our blue pick with a 65% win probability and being picked at 54%.
Thursday Update: PHI now has a 64% of winning and 52% picked.
Saturday Update: PHI has decreased to 51% picked.
And here are the low, medium, and high risk picks for the week:
Point | Base (Lowest) | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
---|---|---|---|---|
15 |
LAR |
LAR |
LAR |
LAR |
14 |
BUF |
PHI |
IND |
NO |
13 |
KC |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
12 |
CIN |
KC |
KC |
KC |
11 |
ARI |
CIN |
CIN |
CIN |
10 |
LAC |
ARI |
ARI |
ARI |
9 |
TB |
LAC |
LAC |
LAC |
8 |
PHI |
TB |
TB |
PHI |
7 |
CLE |
CLE |
PHI |
CLE |
6 |
SF |
SF |
CLE |
SF |
5 |
SEA |
SEA |
SF |
SEA |
4 |
ATL |
ATL |
SEA |
ATL |
3 |
DEN |
DEN |
ATL |
DEN |
2 |
IND |
IND |
DEN |
IND |
1 |
DAL |
DAL |
DAL |
DAL |