Week 4 Survivor/Strike Pool Picks

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Survivor Picks

What the colors mean

Blue (lower risk): These teams have higher win probability, but they’re also better teams that may be good to save for future games.

Yellow (Medium risk): In between blue and green picks.

Green (high risk): Higher risk picks. Less of a chance of winning, but if you can get lucky, you can keep the good teams in your pocket for later on in the season.

Things to consider

Win probability: This is the most important. If you lose you get a strike or if you’re in a one strike pool, you’re out. So you want teams that have a high shot of winning.

Total expected wins: These are how many wins a team is predicted to have this season. This is important because you can only pick a team once in a year, and if a team is really good and will win a lot of games in the season, you would want to save them for later picks.

% picked: This tells us how much of the public has picked this team. With all else being equal, you want to pick a team that less people have picked.

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