Hello Confidence Pool Picks nation! Welcome to the Week 4 of our 2024 season!
Week 3 gave us some surprises with 8 upsets, however our medium risk pick (Dark Green) Tennessee Titans didn’t survive against Green Bay Packers. But on the High Risk side (Light Green Picks), we crushed it, hitting 5 out of 7! Shoutout to everyone who backed the Carolina Panthers (Andy Dalton finally gets us a Carolina win!), Denver Broncos, New York Giants, Los Angeles Rams, or Washington Commanders. Hope you had those teams in your picks!
In the CPP Nation Pool, congrats to Stangman for taking first place! Hitting most of the upsets, they racked up those high-value points and secured the top spot. Shoutout to Power Play and Dakota Tornado as well for landing second and third place respectively!
Base Picks: 54
Some Risk: 49
Med Risk: 43
High Risk: 39
Current Season Base Pick Score: 219
Here are this week’s updated base picks.
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For Week 4 updated picks, we’ve got 2 High Risk Picks and 3 Medium Risk Picks to keep things exciting. And you’ll see a new column this week: the money score. The higher the score, the better the pick. More on that later.
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.
[Picks updated on 9/27]
Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):
- Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC) over Houston Texans (KCC): 28% win probability, 3% pick-rate
- New York Giants (NYG) over Dallas Cowboys (DAL): 31% win probability, 9% pick-rate
As for this week’s updated picks, Jacksonville Jaguars is still leading our Higher Risk underdog picks this week with a 28% shot at a win against the Houston Texans, and only 3% of participants are backing them. As of today, the New York Giants weren’t able to pull off the upset against the Dallas Cowboys.
Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):
- Indianapolis Colts (IND) over Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT): 46% win probability, 17% pick-rate
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TBB) over Philadelphia Eagles (PHI): 46% win probability, 26% pick-rate
- Seattle Seahawks (SEA) over Detroit Lions (DET): 36% win probability, 10% pick-rate
The Indianapolis Colts are still looking strong with a 46% win chance against the Steelers, yet only 17% of you are backing them. As of today, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are back as one of our favorite Medium Risk Picks with a 46% win probability and a 26% pick-rate. Don’t overlook the Seattle Seahawks either—they still come in with a 36% win probability and just an 11% pick-rate, making them a sneaky good pick this week!
Suggested picks by risk
Now, it’s time to aim even higher! Let’s push for even more points this week 4—stay sharp, analyze the matchups, and climb the leaderboard!
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.
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