Season’s Greetings, Confidence Pool Picks Nation! Week 17 is rolling in, and the competition is heating up as we head into the final stretch of the season. From Week 16, the Jacksonville Jaguars stood out as the only Risk Pick to pull off an upset, adding extra excitement to the leaderboard. As the holiday spirit meets gridiron intensity, it’s the perfect time to fine-tune your picks, stay sharp, and enjoy every moment of this action-packed week of football!
A huge congratulations to our Week 16 Premium Pool standouts! The Goo Roos claimed the top spot with an outstanding performance, followed closely by Talty in second place. The Beast rounded out the leaderboard with a well-earned third.
Celebrating our Week 16 champions in the CPP Nation Pool! SpecialK claimed the top spot with an outstanding performance, Purk81 secured second place with a solid showing, and Nostrad**** rounded out the top three with a strong finish.
Week 16 delivered thrilling performances across the board, setting up an electrifying Week 17. The battle for the top spot is closer than ever, now’s the moment to lock in your picks and make your move.
| Total Season: | 1390 | 1313 | 1381 | 1307 |
| Scores from last week: | Base pick | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
| Week 16 | 89 | 83 | 74 | 69 |
Here are this week’s updated base picks.
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See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.
[Updated Picks on 12/26/2025]
Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):
- Cleveland Browns over Pittsburgh Steelers: 38% win probability, 6% pick-rate
- Miami Dolphins over Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 29% win probability, 5% pick-rate
- Indianapolis Colts over Jacksonville Jaguars: 27% win probability, 8% pick-rate
- Arizona Cardinals over Cincinnati Bengals: 23% win probability, 2% pick-rate
Our Week 17 High Risk Pick is the Cleveland Browns over the Pittsburgh Steelers, a bold choice with just a 38% win probability and 6% pick-rate.
Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):
- Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills: 47% win probability, 16% pick-rate
- Baltimore Ravens over Green Bay Packers: 34% win probability, 14% pick-rate [Not a Medium Risk Pick candidate as of 12/26/2025]
Our Week 17 Medium Risk Pick is the Philadelphia Eagles over the Buffalo Bills, with a 47% win probability and 16% pick rate, a balanced risk that paid off for those who trusted the matchup.
Week 17 is here, and every pick counts more than ever! With the season nearing its finale, it’s time to trust your instincts, stay focused, and make every decision count on the path to victory.
Suggested picks by risk
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.

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