Cheers to a new year, Confidence Pool Picks Nation! As the year comes to a close, it’s the perfect time to fine-tune your picks, stay sharp, and enjoy every moment of this action-packed week of football. Week 18 is here, and the competition is heating up as we enter the final stretch of the season. In Week 17, out of five Risk Picks, the Philadelphia Eagles, Cleveland Browns, and Miami Dolphins stood out as the only teams to pull off upsets, adding extra excitement to the leaderboard. Let’s charge into 2026 with energy and focus, and a big thank-you to everyone who’s been part of ConfidencePoolPicks.com this year!

Congratulations to our Week 17 Premium Pool stars! DOLARMA dominated the competition to claim first place, with Dak To The Future putting up a strong showing in second, and Satisfaction earning a solid third to complete the top three.

Celebrating our Week 17 standouts in the CPP Nation Pool! tenpin57 claimed the top spot with an impressive performance, while CollinK secured second place and Discount Doublesuckit followed closely behind in third to round out the leaderboard.

Week 17 brought intense competition and standout performances, setting the stage for an exciting Week 18 finale. With the season coming down to the wire, every pick counts—now’s the time to go all in and finish strong.

Here are this week’s updated base picks.

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See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Updated Picks on 01/02/2026]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

• Washington Commanders over Philadelphia Eagles: 35% win probability, 5% pick-rate
• Arizona Cardinals over Los Angeles Rams: 23% win probability, 2% pick-rate
• New York Jets over Buffalo Bills: 22% win probability, 1% pick-rate

Our High Risk Pick for Week 18 goes to the Washington Commanders over the Philadelphia Eagles. With just a 35% win probability and a 5% pick rate, this bold choice stands out as a true underdog move, perfect for those willing to take a big swing in the final week.

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

• Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears: 40% win probability, 18% pick-rate
• New Orleans Saints over Atlanta Falcons: 36% win probability, 13% pick-rate
• New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys: 36% win probability, 10% pick-rate

[From Wednesday picks] Our Medium Risk Pick for Week 18 goes to the New Orleans Saints over the Atlanta Falcons. With a 38% win probability and a 14% pick rate, this matchup offers a balanced blend of risk and reward for those looking to make a strategic move in the final week.

[Updated Picks on 01/02/2026] Our medium-risk pick for Week 18, updated as of today, is the New York Giants over the Dallas Cowboys. With a 36% win probability and a 10% pick-rate.

Week 18 has arrived—the grand finale of the season! Every pick carries weight, and this is the moment to trust your instincts, stay sharp, and give it everything you’ve got on the final push toward victory.

Suggested picks by risk

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.