Welcome to Week 2! Three money picks connected in Week 1: the San Francisco 49ers, New York Giants, and New York Jets all cashed as medium risk plays. Congratulations to everyone who rode those dogs! Check out this week’s updated picks below. Let’s keep the momentum going in Week 2!
Shoutout to our Premium Pool players: conf is leading the Premium Pool after Week 1, Nick’sPicks2026 is right on their heels in 2nd, and Ken’s2026CPP rounds out the top 3.
Shoutout to our CPP Nation Pool players: Nitro tops the standings after Week 1, Burrowito Supreme, Carl’s Pick ‘Em Prophecy, and Penguinos share 2nd place, and Special K, Confident in Confidence, and BernerBunch round out a three-way tie for 3rd.
Congrats to everyone in the mix, let’s see who comes out on top in Week 2!
| Total Season: | 103 | 107 | 88 | 93 |
| Scores from last week: | Base pick | Some Risk | Med Risk | High Risk |
| Week 1 | 103 | 107 | 88 | 93 |
Here are this week’s updated base picks.
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Keep an eye on our $ Score metrics to uncover the top-value picks and maximize your points.
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.
[Updated Picks on 09/18/2026]
Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):
- Minnesota Vikings over Chicago Bears: 35% win probability, 7% pick-rate
Detroit Lions over Buffalo Bills: 37% win probability, 8% pick-rate[Game Concluded: 09/17/2026]- Arizona Cardinals over Seattle Seahawks: 33% win probability, 8% pick-rate
- Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City Chiefs: 27% win probability, 2% pick-rate
- Tennessee Titans over Philadelphia Eagles: 26% win probability, 1% pick-rate
- New Orleans Saints over Baltimore Ravens: 22% win probability, 2% pick-rate
Cleveland Browns over Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 21% win probability, 1% pick-rate[From: 09/16/2026 update]
Tennessee Titans over Philadelphia Eagles (26% win probability, 1% pick-rate, 9 $Score) stands out above the rest of the Higher Risk tier this week. A 9 $Score leads the pack by a wide margin (next-best is Indianapolis at 5.7 $Score ), yet only 1% of the public is on it.
Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):
Washington Commanders over Dallas Cowboys: 35% win probability, 17% pick-rate[From: 09/15/2026 update]- Medium Risk Pick: New York Jets over Green Bay Packers — 35% win probability, 11% pick-rate
[Updated Picks on 09/18/2026] The lone Medium Risk play this week, solid value with low public backing.
As the 2026 season rolls into Week 2, now’s the time to sharpen your strategy and make every pick count. Good luck out there!
Suggested picks by risk
See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.
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