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Hello Dennis,
It’s a value indicator, the higher it is, the stronger the pick. It favors teams with a real shot to win that most people are overlooking, and low ownership is what gives you an edge over the rest of the pool.
You can check here for more details about The Money Pick.
Hello Dominic,
Bright green = higher risk pick, dark green = safer pick. Dark green teams have a higher win probability; bright green ones are lower-probability but much less picked by the public, so they’re the riskier, more contrarian option.
Hello Stephen,
It measures value, the higher the number, the better the pick. It rewards teams that are likely to win but aren’t heavily picked, since that combo gives you the biggest edge over the field.
You can check here for more details about The Money Pick.
Hello Matthew,
Yes! You can copy the table directly from the post and paste it into a spreadsheet, where you can edit it as needed.
Hello Carl, Green Bay is marked in dark green based on our formula. While they are the favorite, they have a lower % Picked compared to the Bears, which places them in that category.
Hello Matthew,
Thank you for pointing this out and apologies for the confusion. I’ve corrected the matchups.Hello Scott,
Thank you for the kind feedback. We’re glad the analytics and charts were helpful. We appreciate your support and hope you enjoy the games.
Hello Carl,
Sorry for the confusion that should have been NYJ. It has already been corrected in the Friday update.Hello Gerald, please give it a moment; the tables may take a little time to load, but they should appear shortly.
Hello RM,
We usually release the preliminary picks on Tuesday, followed by the updated picks on Wednesday for the Thursday game and for those who prefer to lock in early. Then, we send out the Friday update for anyone who wants to make changes as the games get closer. The Friday update is generally considered the final one before the games begin.Hello Dennis,
In general, we would expect the money picks to hit the same amount as the win probability (like if it’s 25%, it hits 25% of the time). The analysis shows that for the year we ran this analysis, the lower win probability picks (where our money picks usually lie) actually did better than expected. Please check this article: Win probability vs actual win percentageHello Phillip, the total was based on the Friday Updated Picks, which included the latest adjustments from that week. I hope this helps.
