Hello Confidence Pool Picks nation! Welcome to the Week 3 of our 2024 season!

Week 2 gave us some surprises with 8 upsets, more than expected! One of our money picks that came through was Arizona, which pulled off a solid win against the L.A. Rams. We hit 2 out of 5 of our Dark Green Picks (Medium Risk), including Arizona and Minnesota. On the higher risk side, 3 out of 6 Light Green Picks (High Risk) were winners—shout out to Minnesota, New Orleans, and Atlanta. Hopefully, you backed those teams!

In the CPP Nation Pool, congrats to Dakota Tornado for taking first place! Hitting most of the upsets, they racked up those high-value points and secured the top spot.

Base Picks: 57
Some Risk: 65
Med Risk: 46
High Risk: 55

Current Season Base Pick Score: 165

Here are this week’s updated picks.

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In Week 3, as of today, we expect about 7 upsets this week, with a bunch of crazy good money picks. We got 7 High Risk Picks and 1 Medium Risk Pick. So check back in for an update before then.

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Picks updated on 9/20]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

• Atlanta Falcons (ATL) over Kansas City Chiefs (KCC): 38% win probability, 7% pick-rate
• Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC) over Buffalo Bills (BUF): 30% win probability, 2% pick-rate
• Carolina Panthers (CAR) over Las Vegas Raiders (LAS): 29% win probability, 3% pick-rate
• New York Giants (NYG) over Cleveland Browns (CLE): 27% win probability, 4% pick-rate
• Denver Broncos (DEN) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TBB): 27% win probability, 2% pick-rate
• Los Angeles Rams (LAR) over San Francisco 49ers (SFO): 26% win probability, 5% pick-rate
• Washington Commanders (WAS) over Cincinnati Bengals (CIN): 23% win probability, 3% pick-rate

As for this week’s updated picks, Atlanta Falcons is still leading our Higher Risk underdog picks this week with a 38% shot at a win against the Kansas City Chiefs, and only 7% of participants are backing them. The Jacksonville Jaguars and Carolina Panthers also present higher risk opportunities with win probabilities around 29%-30% and low pick rates. Based on this current update, Jacksonville Jaguars is set to be one of the favorites with 5.3 Avg. Confidence rating. Maybe with Andy Dalton as the Panthers QB, they can hit for us!

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

• Tennessee Titans (TEN) over Green Bay Packers (GBP): 58% win probability, 30% pick-rate

Kicking off our Medium Risk underdog updated pick, the Tennessee Titans are still looking solid with a 58% win probability against the Malik Willis led Green Bay Packers and only 30% of participants on their side. Among all the favored Picks Tennessee Titans has the lowest pick-rate.

Suggested picks by risk

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.