2024 Week 6 Regular Confidence Pool Picks

Hey Confidence Pool Picks Nation! Week 6 is here, and it’s about to get really exciting! Get ready for some awesome action this week!

Week 5 delivered some exciting surprises with 4 major upsets! Two of our medium-risk picks, the Houston Texans and Miami Dolphins, really delivered this week, pulling off wins against some tough, favored teams! On the high-risk side (Light Green Picks), the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants pulled off impressive wins—real money picks! Shoutout to everyone who included these teams in their lineup. Hope they worked out for you!

A huge congratulations to our very own “CPP Wild Ting” for taking first place in both the CPP Premium League! CPP Wild Ting secured the top spot by going all in on the Arizona Cardinals money pick.

Big shoutout to “RockLonemilk“, “Stangman” and “Vikings79” for dominating the CPP Nation Pool with those impressive points! You all nailed it and grabbed the top spot. Kudos to “Baba Booey” and “AZ CARDINALS” for securing second and third places, respectively. Well done, everyone!

Base Picks: 72
Some Risk: 61
Med Risk: 65
High Risk: 67

Current Season Base Pick Score: 388

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Here are this week’s updated base picks.

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Get ready for the Week 6 updated picks! We had an exciting lineup on Wednesday with 3 High-Risk Picks and 5 Medium-Risk Picks to keep the thrill going. However, today brings an even bigger update—now we have 4 High-Risk Picks and 4 Medium-Risk Picks. So check back in for an update before then. Plus, don’t miss our new column: the $ Score. The higher the $ Score, the better the pick! Happy picking!

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Picks updated on 10/11]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

  • Cleveland Browns (CLE) over Philadelphia Eagles (PHI): 20% win probability, 1% pick-rate
  • New England Patriots (NEP) over Houston Texans (HOU): 26% win probability, 2% pick-rate
  • Carolina Panthers (CAR) over Atlanta Falcons (ATL): 29% win probability, 2% pick-rate
  • New York Giants (NYG) over Cincinnati Bengals (CIN): 35% win probability, 9% pick-rate
  • Las Vegas Raiders (LAS) over Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT): 39% win probability, 9% pick-rate

Today’s updated picks are in, and while the Cleveland Browns have stepped out of the spotlight, we now have an exciting new lineup of high-risk picks. Leading the pack is the New England Patriots as our 1st High-Risk Pick, followed by the Carolina Panthers at 2nd. The New York Giants take the 3rd spot, and the Las Vegas Raiders complete the group as the 4th High-Risk Pick.

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

  • New York Giants (NYG) over Cincinnati Bengals (CIN): 38% win probability, 10% pick-rate
  • Las Vegas Raiders (LAS) over Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT): 40% win probability, 10% pick-rate
  • Dallas Cowboys (DAL) over Detroit Lions (DET): 40% win probability, 19% pick-rate
  • Tennessee Titans (TEN) over Indianapolis Colts (IND): 57% win probability, 31% pick-rate
  • New York Jets (NYJ) over Buffalo Bills (BUF): 43% win probability, 12% pick-rate
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC) over Chicago Bears (CHI): 45% win probability, 15% pick-rate

Earlier this week, the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders were shining as Medium-Risk Picks, but things have changed with today’s update. Both teams have now moved into the High-Risk category. The Dallas Cowboys lead as the 1st Medium-Risk pick, followed by the Tennessee Titans in 2nd, while the New York Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars maintain their positions with solid win probabilities. Keep an eye on these teams for this week’s exciting matchups.

Suggested picks by risk


See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.

Forums 2024 Week 6 Regular Confidence Pool Picks

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    • #11426 Reply
      Joey De la Pena
      Moderator

      Hey Confidence Pool Picks Nation! Week 6 is here, and it’s about to get really exciting! Get ready for some awesome action this week! Week 5 delivered
      [See the full post at: 2024 Week 6 Regular Confidence Pool Picks]

    • #11434 Reply

      Hello,

      In week 5…
      Could you please explain your logic of picking NYJ as a 14 in low risk picks. Then not picking them at all in your med risk picks, and finally picking them at 14 in your high risk picks. Logic would be that in your low risk you would of picked MIN, in your med risk you would have NYJ at like 8 or 9. And finally in your high risk you would have NYJ at a high risk at 14. Please help me understand how you pick and assign values.

      Thanks,
      Carl

      • #11496 Reply
        Dale Ting
        Keymaster

        Hi Carl! Thanks for the question!

        If you notice, the high risk pick we have both NYJ and CLE as top 2 picks. Both of these picks are underdogs, so it is high risk to be picking both that high. In the some risk category, only NYJ are top pick and everyone else is regular base picks.

        CLE is more of an underdog than NYJ, so if we pick them at 14 it’s higher risk (but greater reward) than picking NYJ at 14. Hence, they are “med risk”.

        For reference, here is the week 5 page: https://confidencepoolpicks.com/2024/2024-week-5-regular-confidence-pool-picks/

    • #11435 Reply

      In week 5…
      Could you please explain your logic of picking NYJ as a 14 in low risk picks. Then not picking them at all in your med risk picks, and finally picking them at 14 in your high risk picks. Logic would be that in your low risk you would of picked MIN, in your med risk you would have NYJ at like 8 or 9. And finally in your high risk you would have NYJ at a high risk at 14. Please help me understand how you pick and assign values.

      Thanks,
      Carl

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