It’s time for another year of March Madness! Following are some good value picks (i.e. teams where they have a relatively higher chance of winning and a relatively low pick rate). Green picks are the higher risk higher reward picks, yellow picks are slightly lower risk but a little lower reward. Blue picks are the favorites that have some value, and red picks are overrated teams (lower win probability but everyone’s picking them). Here we go:

Champion Picks:

• Most picked: Duke (19% win prob, 31% picked).
  • Duke has the highest win probability, but it’s only at 19%. 31% of the people picked them, so they’re as usual overrated. You’ll probably want other upset picks in previous games if you go with them for the championship. Florida is second at 14% win probability and 21% picked.

• Money picks:
  • 1. Houston (16% win prob, 9% picked) 2. Auburn (12% win prob, 11% picked)

Best of luck this year!