Hello Confidence Pool Picks nation! Welcome to the Week 2 of our 2024 season!

The kickoff to the 2024 season was a bit rough, as we had so many money picks but only one (NE) hit. There were so many less upsets than expected, hence the base picks doing well. Carolina was again a money pick, and again they lost. If you recall, they were money picks so much last year and kept disappointing. Well they’re back at it again this year!

Base Picks:110
Some Risk: 90
Med Risk: 91
High Risk: 80

Here are this week’s preliminary picks.

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See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Picks updated on 9/13]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

• NYG over WAS (46% win probability, 9% pick-rate)
• CIN over KCC (31%, 3%)
• MIN over SFO (29%, 5%)
• CHI over HOU (28%, 9%)
• CAR over LAC (28%, 2%)
• NOS over DAL (27%, 7%)
• ATL over PHI (27%, 1%)

As for this week’s update, there are base points changes. But still the New York Giants is leading our Higher Risk underdog picks this week with a great 46% shot at a win against the Washington Commanders, and only 9% of participants are backing them. The Cincinnati Bengals and Minnesota Vikings also present higher risk opportunities with win probabilities around 29%-31% and low pick rates.

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

• ARI over LAR (53% win probability, 25% pick-rate)
• DEN over PIT (41%, 19%)
• CLE over JAC (38%, 14%)
• TEN over NYJ (37%, 14%)

Kicking off our Medium Risk underdog picks, the Arizona Cardinals are looking solid with a 53% win probability against the Los Angeles Rams and only 25% of participants on their side. The Denver Broncos are trailing significantly with a 41% win probability, followed closely by Cleveland Browns at 38% and Tennessee Titans at 37%

Suggested picks by risk

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.