Here are the picks for Week 2:

Blue pick (lowest risk): Tampa Bay. Cleveland is close too.

Yellow pick (medium risk): GB. The oddsmakers feel like the Packers will bounce back.

Green pick (high risk, high rewards): Denver. Only 71% win probability, but they only have 8.5 expected wins for the season.

My pick: TB in my regular league, Denver in the big league.

 

To review:

Win probability: This is the most important. If you lose you get a strike or if you’re in a one strike pool, you’re out. So you want teams that have a high shot of winning.

Predicted wins: These are how many wins a team is predicted to have this season. This is important because you can only pick a team once in a year, and if a team is really good and will win a lot of games in the season, you would want to save them for later picks.

% picked: This tells us how much of the public has picked this team. With all else being equal, you want to pick a team that less people have picked.