Hello Confidence Pool Picks Community! Week 11 is here and we’re coming off a strong performance. One of our money picks, the New Orleans Saints, delivered an impressive upset. Let’s keep the momentum going and see what this week’s matchups have in store.

Big cheers to our Week 10 Premium Pool winners! Just For Kicks and Spankenstein tied for first place, Buffalo Pills snagged second place, and 69crazyeddie closed out the top three with an impressive finish!

Shoutout to the Week 10 top performers in the CPP Nation Pool! John B takes first place, BernerBunch claims second, and Argent secures third to round out the leaderboard!

Well done to everyone who reached the top in Week 10! Let’s keep the streak going and look forward to more victories and thrills in Week 11.

Here are this week’s updated base picks.

Premium Picks

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Keep an eye on our $ Score metrics to uncover the top-value picks and maximize your points.

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Updated Picks on 11/14/2025]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

• Jacksonville Jaguars over Los Angeles Chargers: 40% win probability, 9% pick-rate [Candidate High Risk pick as of 11/14/2025]
• Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers: 39% win probability, 7% pick-rate
• Las Vegas Raiders over Dallas Cowboys: 37% win probability, 7% pick-rate
• Tennessee Titans over Houston Texans: 29% win probability, 5% pick-rate

Our High Risk Pick for Week 11 goes to the Arizona Cardinals over the San Francisco 49ers. With just a 39% win probability and a 7% pick rate, this matchup is a bold call that could pay off big for those willing to take the chance!

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

• Washington Commanders over Miami Dolphins: 41% win probability, 16% pick-rate
• Jacksonville Jaguars over Los Angeles Chargers: 40% win probability, 9% pick-rate [Candidate High Risk pick as of 11/14/2025]
• Carolina Panthers over Atlanta Falcons: 35% win probability, 15% pick-rate

[From Wednesday picks] Our Medium Risk Pick for Week 11 is the Jacksonville Jaguars over the Los Angeles Chargers. With a 40% win probability and a 10% pick rate, this matchup strikes a balance between risk and reward, offering solid upside for those confident in the Jags’ potential.

[Updated Picks on 11/14/2025] Our medium-risk pick for Week 11, updated as of today, is the Washington Commanders over the Miami Dolphins. With a 41% win probability and a 16% pick-rate

Week 11 is in full swing! Stay focused, have confidence in your selections, and make each pick count. Keep the energy high and push for that number one spot on the leaderboard.

Suggested picks by risk

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.