Hey Confidence Pool Picks Community! Week 13 is underway, and what a finish we had in Week 12. Two of our Risk Picks, the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys, delivered huge with surprise victories that shook things up. Let’s keep the fire burning and aim for another standout week!

Celebrating our Week 12 Premium Pool stars! Melissy70 claimed the top spot with an incredible showing, Cowboys412 came in strong at second, and Buffalo Pills and Arnies Army shared an impressive third-place finish.

Cheers to the Week 12 top performers in the CPP Nation Pool! GameTimeDecision and Nostra*** shared the first-place spotlight, Tim F secured a solid second, and SpecialK, Hello Googles, and Stritz Picks rounded things out with a three-way tie for third.

Week 12 brought some incredible performances, well done everyone! As we head into Week 13, the competition heats up and the chase for the top spot continues. Let’s see who rises next!

Here are this week’s updated base picks.

Premium Picks

To see the whole table, subscribe to Premium Picks here.

Already got premium picks? Sign in here to see your picks.

Premium Picks[$]

Keep an eye on our $ Score metrics to uncover the top-value picks and maximize your points.

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Updated Picks on 11/29/2025]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

• Cleveland Browns over San Francisco 49ers: 31% win probability, 8% pick-rate
• New Orleans Saints over Miami Dolphins: 29% win probability, 4% pick-rate
• Washington Commanders over Denver Broncos: 29% win probability, 3% pick-rate
• Tennessee Titans over Jacksonville Jaguars: 27% win probability, 4% pick-rate
• New York Giants over New England Patriots: 22% win probability, 3% pick-rate

[From Wednesday picks] Our High-Risk Pick for Week 13 goes to the New Orleans Saints over the Miami Dolphins. With just a 28% win probability and a 3% pick rate, this one’s a bold call, but the potential payoff could be huge if the Saints pull off the upset!

[Updated Picks on 11/29/2025] Our high-risk pick for Week 13, updated as of today, is the Washington Commanders over the Denver Broncos. With a 29% win probability and a 3% pick-rate.

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

• New York Jets over Atlanta Falcons: 42% win probability, 15% pick-rate
• Pittsburgh Steelers over Buffalo Bills: 37% win probability, 11% pick-rate
• Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions: 40% win probability, 19% pick-rate [Game Concluded]
• Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts: 36% win probability, 15% pick-rate [Just added: Candidate Medium Risk pick as of 11/29/2025]
• Arizona Cardinals over Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 36% win probability, 10% pick-rate

[From Wednesday picks] Our Medium-Risk Pick for Week 13 is the Arizona Cardinals over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With a 43% win probability and an 11% pick rate, this matchup strikes a balance between risk and reward, offering solid upside if the Cardinals come through.

[Updated Picks on 11/29/2025] Our medium-risk pick for Week 13, updated as of today, is the New York Jets over the Atlanta Falcons. With a 42% win probability and a 15% pick-rate.

Week 13 is in full swing, and the pressure is on! Each pick has the power to shake up the rankings, so stay sharp and stick to your game plan. The race for the top spot is anyone’s to win, play bold and aim high!

Suggested picks by risk

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.