Hi if we take a medium or high risk bet do we leave it ranked as is or drop it low?

Hello, been using you guys for 3 years now with good success, thanks.

Can you please tell us a little more about how the new $ Score numbers are calculated and what factors are behind them? For example why is CLE a 6.9 and LAR only a 2.2, with similar win probability % etc.

Also how does it factor into ‘risk’ considerations? Meaning, that based on the $ Score indicating a better pick, wouldn’t it make more sense to pick NYG on the suggested pick list after CLE instead of NYJ? Wouldn’t a 6.4 rated pick be less ‘risky’ than a 5.2 rated pick?

Thanks for the clarification, Appreciate the work you do

You have NYJ in the some risk column with 14 points, but picked MIN in both the med risk and high risk. Can you please explain your logic? I would think putting 14 points on an upset would be considered a high risk move.

Hi Carl, yes if you’re looking to win the week (vs win the season) you would want to take that risk. I went with Denver for 16 last week in one pool and when they pulled the upset I won the week. You will lose much of the time, but hopefully you’d hit 4-5 times a year and be in the money.

Check out this article: https://confidencepoolpicks.com/nfl-weekly-confidence-pool-picks-the-basics/