2025 Week 8 Regular Confidence Pool Picks

Regular Confidence Pool Picks, Uncategorized / 10 Comments

Hi, Confidence Pool Picks Community! It’s Week 8, and the season is getting more exciting. Last week, our money picks missed, but most base picks were winners. Now we have a fresh set of games and new chances to score big. Let’s get ready for another great week of football!

Congratulations to the Week 7 Premium Pool winners! HisShadow and AZ Cardinals share first place, Mike’s_picks ‘25 and Silver Willow are tied for second, and DonSoc takes third.

Congratulations to the Week 7 winners in the CPP Nation Pool! HisShadow and Hello Googles share first place, RobR takes second, and Nostra**** comes in third.

Great job to everyone who made it to the top in Week 7. Here’s to more wins and excitement in Week 8!

Total Season:659626657628
Scores from last week:Base pickSome RiskMed RiskHigh Risk
Week 7106939280

How did you do last week?
127 votes
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Here are this week’s updated base picks.

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Keep an eye on our $ Score metrics to uncover the top-value picks and maximize your points.

See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make confidence pool picks for beginners – 2023 update video for for more info on how to use these picks.

[Updated Picks on 10/24/25]

Higher Risk Picks (Bright Green):

  • New Orleans Saints over Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 33% win probability, 3% pick-rate
  • New York Jets over Cincinnati Bengals: 27% win probability, 3% pick-rate
  • Carolina Panthers over Buffalo Bills: 22% win probability, 2% pick-rate
  • Miami Dolphins over Atlanta Falcons: 21% win probability, 2% pick-rate

This week’s standout high-risk pick is the New Orleans Saints taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With just a 33% win probability and a 3% pick rate, it’s a daring move that could separate bold players from the rest of the pack.

Medium Risk Picks (Dark Green):

  • Houston Texans over San Francisco 49ers: 55% win probability, 19% pick-rate
  • Minnesota Vikings over Los Angeles Chargers: 37% win probability, 15% pick-rate [Finished Game: No upset occurred]

Our medium-risk pick for Week 8 is the Houston Texans over the San Francisco 49ers. With a 55% win probability and a 19% pick rate, this matchup shows solid potential for those looking to make a confident yet strategic play.

Week 8 has arrived. Keep your focus, stick to your game plan, and remember that every pick counts. Keep the momentum strong and aim for the top of the leaderboard.

Suggested picks by risk


See our NFL Weekly Confidence Pool Picks: The Basics post or How to make NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Pool Picks – step by step video for for more info.

› Forums › 2025 Week 8 Regular Confidence Pool Picks

Viewing 5 reply threads
  • Author
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    • 10/23/2025 at 3:23 pm #12676 Reply
      Dennis DeGraff
      Member

      Hi Dale,

      Have you performed an analysis as to how often the top money pick hits?

      Thanks, Dennis

      • 10/30/2025 at 4:20 pm #12711 Reply
        Joey De la Pena
        Moderator

        Hello Dennis,
        In general, we would expect the money picks to hit the same amount as the win probability (like if it’s 25%, it hits 25% of the time). The analysis shows that for the year we ran this analysis, the lower win probability picks (where our money picks usually lie) actually did better than expected. Please check this article: Win probability vs actual win percentage

    • 10/23/2025 at 4:27 pm #12677 Reply
      Phillip Wamser
      Member

      Wasn’t the week 7 base pick total 102?

      • 10/24/2025 at 2:27 pm #12681 Reply
        Joey De la Pena
        Moderator

        Hello Phillip, the total was based on the Friday Updated Picks, which included the latest adjustments from that week. I hope this helps.

    • 10/26/2025 at 4:38 am #12687 Reply
      RM
      Member

      When would the last update come in for the picks? Isnt it better to just take the final updated picks and roll with them?

      Thanks

      • 10/30/2025 at 4:26 pm #12712 Reply
        Joey De la Pena
        Moderator

        Hello RM,
        We usually release the preliminary picks on Tuesday, followed by the updated picks on Wednesday for the Thursday game and for those who prefer to lock in early. Then, we send out the Friday update for anyone who wants to make changes as the games get closer. The Friday update is generally considered the final one before the games begin.

    • 10/26/2025 at 6:31 am #12688 Reply
      TJ
      Member

      I have to imagine a new update is coming with Lamar Jackson News breaking over weekend

      • 10/26/2025 at 8:48 am #12689 Reply
        RM
        Member

        Ha ha..he was already ruled out yesterday.

    • 10/26/2025 at 11:57 am #12691 Reply
      TJ
      Member

      so no update since 10/24? Jackson was ruled out and no adjustment? Come on guys

    • 10/26/2025 at 11:57 am #12692 Reply
      TJ
      Member

      do better

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